Pittsburgh at New York

It would appear that the Steelers dominated the Lions at home last week as they whipped-up on them pretty good in a 23-7 final. A closer look reveals that simply wasn't the case, as the Lions outgained the Steelers for the game. The misleading final score (and fact that Big Ben will play) has led to the oddsmakers and public believing Pittsburgh is out to play here. But, with the Giants posted as a rather extreme home dog, history is riding with them. Home underdogs of 3 or more have gone on to cover 66% of the time in these games, so we definitely have a live dog in this one. The Giants are 7-3 SU and ATS in their last ten preseason home games so getting 4 points here is huge.