2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 20, 2011
Philadelphia at New York
Sunday 11/20 08:25 PM Eastern
2 units on Philadelphia PICK () (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: WIN
The Eagles have pushed their backs totally against the wall and will likely have to run the table for any playoffs chance. It isn't likely to happen but I do like them to show up in this game. This is a very ugly dog, as the Eagles have underachieved all season. Now they will likely be without Michael Vick and this line is barely is still under a touchdown? Something stinks here as you have to ask yourself why the oddsmakers have set this line so low. The Giants at 6-3 aren't exactly stampeding teams themselves. This is a Giants team that lost at home to Seattle by 11 points and at Washington by 14. In the last six weeks the Giants haven’t beaten anyone by more than 4 points. The Eagles are as desperate as a team can get: win or their season is officially over. The Giants are just 2-10 ATS the past three seasons vs. good offensive teams (those averaging 24+ ppg). Under Andy Reid, they are 26-13 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and 35-19 ATS as a road dog of any size. They are also 19-10 ATS under Reid revenging a home loss and 22-12 ATS after back-to-back ATS losses under Reid. Meanwhile, under Tom Coughlin, the Giants are just 3-12 ATS at home in November. Philadelphia also fits a home-loss revenge situation that is 43-13 ATS since 1990. I'm backing ugly here, so the Eagles get the call.