2016 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 09, 2016

This pick was released to clients on October 08, 2021 at 1:09PM ET.


Philadelphia at Detroit

Sunday 10/09 01:00 PM Eastern

1 unit on Detroit +155 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.55)  RESULT: WIN

Carson Wentz is quickly becoming the talk of the league as he has the Eagles flying high and off to a 3-0 start. The NFL bye system may have greeted the Eagles at the wrong time, as they had a lot of momentum going, everything was breaking right for them, and then they had to sit out a week. History kind of bears that out as teams that are 3-0 and then have a bye, cover just 45% of the time in their next game. All that being said, the Eagles offense is a tick below average from the line of scrimmage, generating 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that average allowing 5.7. It has been the defense that has been surprisingly good so far. Detroit is much better offensively, and has run the ball surprisingly well this season. Matt Stafford has done better against Philadelphia than any other team, where he owns a passer rating of 93, which is actually 137 at home. The Lions have also averaged 30.3 points per game against Philly in three games behind Stafford. This is a tough spot for Philly as they lost their momentum off a bye, and the next four games after this one show three in the division, and one against so-far unbeaten Minnesota. I think the Lions come ready at home, and spring the upset. Play Detroit on the moneyline.

Eagles 0 10 10 3 23
Lions 14 7 0 3 24



Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

with detailed analysis