2014 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 26, 2014
This pick was released to clients on October 23, 2014 at 7:05PM ET.
Philadelphia at Arizona
Sunday 10/26 04:05 PM Eastern
1 unit on Philadelphia +2 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95) RESULT: LOSS
The Philadelphia Eagles were supposed to be the team to beat last season, but their 3-5 start did them in. They have since become what everyone thought they might be. The Eagles closed the season last year at 7-1, and their 5-1 start to the 2014 season leaves them at 12-2 over their last 14 regular season games. But, few are talking about them and their success. This has been a highly consistent offense as they have now scored 21 points or more in 15 straight games, so they have not been thwarted on the scoreboard - even against good defenses. Arizona is off to a flying start as well, but their one loss was against an elite offense in Denver who hung a 41 on them. And, Arizona may be a bit overrated. They have beneffitted from a +7 turnover margin which is someting they cannot count on continuing all season (over half of turnovers are random). And if you are wondering, in contrast Philly owns their 5-1 record despite a -5 turnover margin! Philadelphia owns a 5-2 ATS mark off a 14+ point win to become a momentum team. Arizona has performed admirably as a home dog at 18-8 ATS in their last 26, but they are not so good as home chalk where they are 7-10 ATS in their last 17. Take the points on Philadelphia.
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