This pick was released to clients on August 14, 2012 at 10:20PM ET.
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New York at Minnesota

October 26, 2003
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
4 units on Minnesota -5.5 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)

A tale of two opposites. Hats off to Minnesota for beating a good Bronco’s team last week to remain undefeated. Minnesota is finding ways to win games and cover the spread-period. They are 6-0 in both categories. The G-Men are struggling in many ways. Their offense is 24th in the league and they can’t hang on to the football. They’re reeling from three straight losses and I see no reason why that will change this week. Last week’s loss was a doozy against a division rival whom they had down the whole game. New York dominated in just about every stat including yardage, time of possession and first downs but lost on an 84-yard punt return with a minute to play. Losing that game in that way doesn’t help the psyche of a team that was already down and doubting themselves. It doesn’t motivate. It deflates. What we have here is a home team on a confidence high and another that wants to bury their heads in the sand. Home teams on a sustained SU and ATS winning streaks cover about two thirds of the time. My lone favorite pick of the week is an easy one.


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