2002 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 10, 2002

This pick was released to clients on August 10, 2012 at 5:52PM ET.


New York at Minnesota

Sunday 11/10 01:00 PM Eastern

4 units on Minnesota +1 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)  RESULT: LOSS

Another classic example of the linesmakers and public overreacting to the prior week’s results. The betting public easily remembers New York’s impressive win over Jacksonville and Minnesota’s two-touchdown loss to Tampa Bay last week.

What is quickly forgotten is how poorly the Giants have played prior to last week. The G-Men rank close to worst in the league in points scored. They have scored 13 or fewer points in five of their eight games this year and their red zone offense is pathetic (worst in the league). They are also 5-12-2 against the spread in their last 19 dating back to last year.

Also forgotten by many people is the fact that the Vikings have an explosive and dangerous offense that is ranked second in the league in total yards. The problem has been 19 turnovers by Daunte Culpepper. If he can avoid the turnovers, the Vikings will win this one easily.

Minnesota can run the ball (third in the league in yards per rush) while the Giants struggle to stop it (26th in the league in yards per rush given up).

There’s enough here to see Minnesota notching the win, especially at home.



Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

with detailed analysis