New England vs. Seattle

Will there be a huge game-breaker play in this game? Will one team score a long touchdown of 45 or more yards? Your intuition probably says that it's not that liklely. But, the stats speak otherwise. Over the first 48 Super Bowls, a team has scored a 45+ yard touchdown 31 times (64.6% of the time). And, the games that didn't have a long touchdown were front-loaded in the early years. In the first 20 Super Bowls, eight of the games saw the longest touchdown remain under 45 yards. But in the last 28 Super Bowls, only nine games have failed to produce3 a touchdown of 45+ yards. That's just 32.1% of the time. So, we can expect roughly a two-thirds chance of winning this bet, while getting positive odds. Take the OVER on this prop bet.