New England vs. Atlanta

Will there be a huge game-breaker play in this game? Will one team score a long touchdown of 50 or more yards? Your intuition probably says that its not that likely. But, the stats speak otherwise. Over the first 50 Super Bowls, a team has scored a 45+ yard touchdown 31 times (62% of the time). And, the games that didnt have a long touchdown were front-loaded in the early years. In the first 20 Super Bowls, eight of the games saw the longest touchdown remain under 45 yards. But in the last 30 Super Bowls, only 11 games have failed to produce a touchdown of 45+ yards. Thats just 37% of the time. While this line is set higher than 45, its for good reason, considering the explosive nature of both offenses in this game. So, we can expect roughly a two-thirds chance of winning this bet, while getting about even odds. Take the OVER on this prop bet.