2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 16, 2011

16

Minnesota at Chicago

Sunday 10/16 08:20 PM Eastern

3 units on Chicago PICK () (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: WIN

Minnesota finally won a game last week, but it took playing at home against a team (Arizona) that is now 0-10 straight-up in their last 10 road games. That win doesn't really lsay a whole lot when you consider their body of work this season. The Vikings have been coming up short on the road themselves as they are 2-12 straight-up in their last 14 road games, so to say that they are on a level even with the Bears (3 points for home field), makes no sense to me. I see the value on the home team in this one. The Bears certainly have not been a pushover when playing at home where they own a 21-10 straight-up mark in their last 31 home games, and 2-1 this season, losing only to the Green Bay Packers. This has been the absolute worst spot for the Vikings over the years. Minnesota has been 4-15-2 ATS in their last 21 games posted as a road dog of +3 or less, and 6-19-3 ATS as a dog of +3 or less overall. Overall the past two seasons, the Vikes are just 2-9 ATS as an underdog. The Bears have rebounded nicely of late after a bad offensive scoring game that saw them tally 15 or less, going 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven after the futile offensive effort. The Bears are not that bad of a team. They have beaten Atlanta and Carolina, scoring 64 points in those two games. Meanwhile they have suffered their three losses to teams that own a combined 14-1 record. That's what I call a tough schedule! Chicago is the much better team on the field here and I think the final score reflects that.

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Wins Losses Units
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