2014 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 28, 2014

This pick was released to clients on September 26, 2014 at 5:35PM ET.


Miami vs. Las Vegas

Sunday 09/28 01:00 PM Eastern

1 unit on Las Vegas +4 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)  RESULT: loss

1 unit on Game Total OVER 40.5 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)  RESULT: win

With all the pre-draft buzz about the quarterbacks that were going to be drafted and who would start, Derek Carr turned out to be the only rookie that made the grade to start at the beginning of the season. Carr is suffering from an offense that simply is not very good. The fact that Darren McFadden is gaining just 3.3 yards per carry aggravates the situation. It has left the Oakland offense bankrupt, averaging just 12.3 points per game. But, they will improve over time. The good news is that the defense has more than held their own as they held New England, on the road, to one TD for the game, and nothing in the second half. That has set the stage for these teams to open things up as they both feel they can win this game. Both of these teams have allowed a passer rating of over 90 against them through three games, so expect this one to turn into an air show, while the total dictates otherwise. The Dolphins have a QB controversy and their defense has allowed 20+ points in all three games, averaging 27.7 per game allowed. I think Oakland comes into this one confident after keeping it very close with the Patriots last week. The Raiders are 4-0-1 to the OVER in their last five vs. a team with a losing record as they open up the playbook. This series has seen the OVER go 5-1 in the last six meetings. Take Oakland with the points, and the OVER.

Dolphins 3 21 14 0 38
Raiders 7 0 0 7 14



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