2013 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 17, 2013

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

17

Los Angeles at Miami

Sunday 11/17 04:05 PM Eastern

1 unit on Game Total OVER 44.5 -102 (risk 1 to return 1)  RESULT: LOSS

The Miami Dolphins have really had some problems on and off the field. They started the season at 3-0, but it has been all down hill since as the Dolphins are 1-5 in their last six games. They slept-walked through the first half of last week's game against winless Tampa Bay, but still made a game out of it by scoring all 19 of their points in the second half. The bigger problem is that the Dolphins have allowed 20 points or more points in each of their last eight games. Phillip Rivers and company are playing well offensively, having scored 28 or more in each of their last two. They should see plenty of opportunities to duplicate those numbers here. The problem for the Chargers is that they have given up 20+ in seven of their nine games on the season. It is certainly fair to say that each team gets to 20 at the least and I expect more. The Chargers are 19-7-1 to the OVER in their last 27 games on the road when facing a team with a losing home record. They are also 22-10 OVER in their last 32 road games vs. a poor defense (those allowing 350+ yards per game). Over the past three seasons, the Bolts are 14-4 OVER after a game that went UNDER. This one goes OVER.

FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Chargers 7 3 3 3 16
Dolphins 3 7 7 3 20

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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