2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks

December 14, 2008

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

14

Los Angeles at Kansas City

Sunday 12/14 01:00 PM Eastern

3 units on Game Total UNDER 45 -110 (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: WIN

The Chiefs have been one of the worst teams in the NFL over the past year and a half. How bad have have they been? Kansas City is now 2-20 in their last 22 games. The biggest reason is they have a very inept offense with no downfield weapons, and an aging and oft-injured featured running back in Larry Johnson. It has heavily contributed to their inability to win, as the offense over this 22-game stretch has managed to put up just 16.2 ppg. The Chargers looked like their offense was revived back at the beginning of the season, as they scored 138 points in their first four games (34.5 ppg). It has been a very different story since then. This "high-octane" offense has actually been producing under the NFL average over the last nine weeks, putting up 20.7 ppg. What has happened is the Chargers defense has taken charge and is playing good, allowing just 18.7 ppg over the last 10 games. So we are left with an above average total in a game that features two offenses that are struggling at much below the NFL average team, with the Chargers playing above average on defense. We also have teams that played UNDER in their first game this season, and in six of their last eight meetings. I'll play on the valued side here, which is the UNDER.
FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Chargers 0 3 7 12 22
Chiefs 7 7 7 0 21

NFL

 

Last 21.0 years

Wins Losses Units
2492 2198 +198.88

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