2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks

December 04, 2008

04

Las Vegas at Los Angeles

Thursday 12/04 08:15 PM Eastern

3 units on Game Total UNDER 41.5 -110 (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: WIN

As predicted, Oakland has again been poor in 2008. San Diego has to be this year's biggest disappointment coming in at 4-8. Amazingly, due to an incredibly weak division, the Chargers are not yet mathematically eliminated from the playoffs. For all intents and purposes, however, they are. One more loss, or a Denver win and they are officially done. Are the Chargers nine points better than Oakland? Maybe. Could this game be close? Sure. Could it be a blowout? Sure. While a play on the side seems iffy to me, I like the total. Oakland is averaging 14 points per game on offense. They have been held to under 20 points in nine of their twelve games and to 14 or less in half of their games. Meanwhile their defense is pretty good! They are giving up just 20 per game on the road this season and they have held their last four opponents to just 16 points per game on average. San Diego's offense has sputtered. In their first four games, they put up 34.5 points per game. But since then (eight games), they are averaging just 19 points per contest - a drop of over 15 points per game! As the season progresses, it seems to be getting even worse. Over their last three games, they have put up just 15 points per game. This is also a division game and those usually are a bit more intense and lower scoring as the defenses know what to expect. Twelve of the last sixteen games between these two clubs played in San Diego have gone UNDER the total. When two bad teams get together, it can be downright ugly. We saw it on Monday night and I think we see it again here. I'll go with the UNDER in this one.


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