2020 Season NFL Football Past Picks

February 07, 2021

This pick was released to clients on January 28, 2021 at 4:28PM ET.

07

Kansas City at Tampa Bay

Sunday 02/07 06:30 PM Eastern

2 units on Total Field Goals UNDER 3.5 (risk 2 to return 3.44)  RESULT: LOSS

In 2020, the average number of field goals per game was just 3.14. Kansas City averaged just 1.61 field goals made per game while Tampa Bay kicked 1.89 per game. But, this is not just any game. This is the big game and the Super Bowl is a different animal. Teams are generally less conservative overall in the Super Bowl when all is said and done. It's all or nothing. The coaches do not want to leave anything on the field. If a team is ahead, they don't want to give their opponent any chance of coming back. If a team is behind, they are not playing to keep it close ? they are playing to win the game, no matter what. So, there are fewer field goals in the Super Bowl than in your average NFL game. Through the first 54 Super Bowls, there have only been 139 made field goals which comes to an average of 2.63 per game. That's 16% less than this year's regular-season average of 3.14. In only 14 of the 54 Super Bowl games have more than three field goals been made! That comes to just 26% and fair odds on that are -285. Yet, we get -139 odds here. This bet should come through about three quarters of the time. Take the UNDER on this prop as a Max Play.
FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Chiefs 3 3 3 0 9
Buccaneers 7 14 10 0 31

NFL

2020-21 Recent Results

Wins Losses Units
99 83 +5.23

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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