2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 09, 2008

09

Kansas City at Los Angeles

Sunday 11/09 04:15 PM Eastern

3 units on Game Total UNDER 47.5 -115 (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: WIN

Kansas City has kept two games in which they were huge underdogs very close. They put up 51 points in those two games. Now there are suddently believers in this Chiefs offense. I'm not buying Tyler Thigpen as a viable NFL QB yet. He is completing just 51% of his passes and has a QB rating of 67.6. When totals start reaching the upper 40s, you need two teams that can score. But, Kansas City needs a bad mistake-prone offense to score, as proven with five games out of eight scoring 14 points or less. San Diego is coming back from their game in London, and even though they had their bye, I'm not expecting them to be in peak form here. Last year after returning from Europe, with both teams having byes, the Miami offense struggled scoring 10 and the Giants struggled scoring 20 (both under their season averages). The Chargers have gone OVER the total just once in their last five games. I don't see this game getting the juices flowing for the San Diego players, especially with Pittsburgh up next. I expect a workman's like effort: win and move on. From all of this, I expect a lower scoring game than the posted total indicates.

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