2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks

Jacksonville has won all of one road game over the past year. They are 3-6, have a rookie quarterback that has really struggled, and they are averaging 12.8 points per game (11.4 on the road). Yet they are deserving of a near-pick'em line on the road? Things that make you go hmmmmm. Granted, the Browns don't instill a lot of confidence as they are also offensively challenged. But, this is a winnable home game for them, they have the better quarterback, and I think they can beat this Jags team. Chris Ogbonnaya finally found his legs last game (90 yards) and Greg LIttle has emerged as a legitimate #1 receiver for Colt McCoy. The Jags passing defense lost a big cog last week with All-Pro cornerback Rashean Mathis placed on IR with a torn ACL. The Jags are 3-7 ATS in their last ten games as a small underdog of up to 3 points and they've covered the number just twice in their last 9 games as a dog. This is the third straight road game for Jacksonville - something that has proven detrimental to NFL teams as teams in this situation have gone just 55-89 straight-up since 1989. If they are coming off a win as the Jags are here, they are just 20-46. I like the Browns here.