2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 11, 2011
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Indianapolis at Baltimore
Sunday 12/11 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Indianapolis PICK () (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: win
2 units on Game Total UNDER PICK (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: win
The Indianapolis Colts are running out of games to pick up a win. This certainly doesn't look like the spot to get one. Last week the Patriots dominated them and led 31-3, then they laid down as the Colts scored 21 in the fourth quarter. I don't see them moving the chains much vs. this Baltimore defense that is playing as well as any defense in the league. The Ravens have allowed 16 points total in their last two games. The problem is that the Baltimore offense is not clicking, and this is Joe Flacco's fourth year and probably his most disappointing. He has his lowest completion percentage, lowest yards per attempt and lowest QB rating. I wouldn't expect Baltimore to be playing their "A" game in this spot either against the lowly Colts. The Ravens have won and covered two straight so winning by 18+ points is really a lot to ask. Winless teams after seven games are 28-15 ATS since 1980. Take the points on the Colts. The UNDER also looks good, given the Colts' offensive woes. Indy has seen four of their last five in the role of a dog fail to get OVER the total, and seven of the last eight in this series have failed to go OVER the total. Take Indianapolis and UNDER in this one.