2016 Season NFL Football Past Picks
January 07, 2017
This pick was released to clients on January 13, 2022 at 10:59AM ET.
Detroit at Seattle
Saturday 01/07 08:30 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Seattle -8 (+100) (risk 1.5 to return 3) RESULT: win
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 44 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91) RESULT: win
The Detroit Lions had an opportunity to clinch the NFC North with just one win in their last three games, but failed to get it done. Could part of the problem be the throwing hand of QB Matthew Stafford? It may be a contributor, but regardless, I just don't think this team does a lot of things exceptional but rather they do a lot of things just good. One key thing to look at is Detroit played against 11 teams that did not make the playoffs and went 9-2 But in the five games vs. playoff teams, the Lions went 0-5. Seattle doesn't have a strong offensive line, but they do have a huge advantage at home where the defense tends to rule the day. Since the start of the 2012 season, the Seahawks have played 44 times at home and are a blistering 38-6 SU, and 28-15-1 ATS, allowing just 15.7 points per game. They have won 25 of those games by eight points or more. This season the Hawks are 7-1, winning by over 11 points per game. If Seattle is going to win and cover this game, which is what they typically do at home, it will be the defense that carries the day. When Seattle wins at home by eight points or more, they have allowed a ridiculous 11 ppg. More ridiculous is the fact that of those 25 games, just one team managed to top the 20-point mark, and Detroit has averaged a mere 18.2 ppg against the five playoff teams they have faced. Under Jim Caldwell, the Lions are 13-23 ATS on short rest. Detroit is 17-6 to the UNDER over the past three seasons on the road. If the total was between 42.5 and 45 as it is here, they were a perfect 8-0 to the UNDER. Take Seattle and the UNDER.
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