2016 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 11, 2016
This pick was released to clients on September 10, 2021 at 2:02PM ET.
Detroit at Indianapolis
Sunday 09/11 04:25 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 51.5 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 1.5) RESULT: LOSS
This is an interesting early season match up as both under-achieved offensively, but a lot of the Colts struggles were because Andrew Luck was sidelined. Luck, however, can't do it himself. The talent level at receiver is not what it once was, and the running game is bankrupt. Frank Gore has a diminishing skill set, but despite of that he was on the field for 707 snaps last year, third most in the league for running backs. And at 3.7 yards a tote, and falling, the ground game is getting worse. Detroit QB Matthew Stafford had his second straight below average season, and his worst since 2008, his rookie year. The Lions running game, like that of the Colts, is stagnant and in simple terms, ineffective. That leaves us with a pair of teams that have a lot of one-dimensional aspects to them. And while the defenses for both these teams are not very good, the question remains, can a one-domensional offense take advantage? The answer is yes, but not to the extent of a total that is up over the 50 point mark. Since the start of the 1989 season, we have seen just 12 NFL games in Week 1 with a total of 50+, going 4-7-1. I'm not sure if this game manages to be poised above the 50 point mark as I see a pair of offenses that don't have the tools the odds-makers are giving them credit for. Make the play on the UNDER.
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