2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 06, 2011

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

06

Denver at Las Vegas

Sunday 11/06 04:05 PM Eastern

2 units on Denver PICK () (risk 2 to return 2)  RESULT: WIN

The Denver Broncos will continue with Tim Tebow at QB. They don't have much choice now that they tied their own hands by sittle Orton. Tebow rescued victory from defeat two weeks ago, but was completely inept last week. He's really not a good QB, but he can find ways to manufacture points. He will face a solid Raiders defense this week. I think this week John Fox will utilize him more where his talent best fits and that is running the ball. The Raiders have been leaking against the run allowing 4.8 yards per carry on the season and Tebow could do some damage sustaining drives with his legs in this one. The Raiders offense could have problems as Carson Palmer was a fading QB in Cincinnati, and you see what Dalton has done making a difference there. Palmer sure looked rusty in relief of Kyle Boller last week. What could have been ample time to work with receivers during the bye week for Oakland was curtailed by the new rules of limited practices and days off, so I wouldn't expect to see any kind of amazing performance from Palmer here. The Raider's best player (Darren McFadden) will not be available here and we saw how the Raiders fared without him and and Jason Campbell against the Chiefs (they couldn't score). So, the points are looking very good here. Teams coming off a four TD blowout loss often carry line value the following week and have covered at the rate of 63% in their next game. This is another valued ugly dog in Denver. Take them with the points.
FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Broncos 7 0 17 14 38
Raiders 3 14 7 0 24

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