2018 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 28, 2018

This pick was released to clients on October 29, 2021 at 2:33PM ET.


Denver at Kansas City

Sunday 10/28 01:00 PM Eastern

1 unit on Game Total UNDER 54 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)  RESULT: WIN

These teams went UNDER by 3.5 points in the first meeting on Oct. 1 when Kansas City beat the Broncos 27-23. This week's total is a little higher based on Denver's 45-point outburst at Arizona last Thursday. However, the Broncos are still averaging only 23.6 points on the season and the Chiefs' defense played its best game of the season against Cincinnati last week. Kansas City has actually stayed UNDER in three of its last four games and its defense appears to be underrated. Denver has gone UNDER in four of its last six games this season and five of its last six when following a win dating to last year. Also, the Broncos have gone UNDER five of their last seven versus AFC West teams and nine of their last 13 October games. Kansas City is an impressive 47-20 UNDER over its last 67 home contests as Arrowhead Stadium is notoriously difficult for opposing offenses. The Chiefs held the Bengals to 174 passing yards and just 65 rushing yards on 19 carries. Denver held the Cardinals to only 154 yards through the air and intercepted Josh Rosen three times. This is an inflated posted total, so play the UNDER.

Broncos 7 7 0 9 23
Chiefs 3 13 14 0 30



Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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