Indianapolis is coming off a shocker win against Philadelphia. The Cowboys are coming off three straight losses. Does that mean the Colts deserve to be a 7 point favorite? No way.
Let us not forget how poorly Indianapolis has played this year. They are 2-7 against the spread. The lines-makers and pubic were starting to figure out that this team was overrated but with last week’s big win, they are overrated again.
Dallas’ defense is tough and improving. They have given up just 17.2 points per game (11.7 over the last three games). The problem has been their offense. The bye week came at a good time for the Cowboys and the extra time should help the offense work out some of their problems. Don’t expect Mungro to do too much against this stingy defense.
Teams coming off 3 straight losses and a bye are an incredible 87% against the spread and I expect Dallas to stay close or win outright.