2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 06, 2011
Cleveland at Houston
Sunday 11/06 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Cleveland PICK () (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: LOSS
The Houston Texans bandwagon is beginning to get full, and this looks like the perfect week to hop off. Houston leads the AFC South and surprisingly has the #4 ranked defense, which used to be the team's Achilles heel. They are off a pair of impressive division wins, and with a 3-4 Cleveland team invading - a team that hasn't scored more than 17 points in five straight games - this one should be easy. The problem is that the Texans may be thinking that way and that's what leads to trouble when laying double digits in the NFL. The Browns should get a boost this week with the return of their only true playmaker in Peyton Hillis who has been sidelined with a hamstring injury. Houston will once again likely be without the services of Andre Johnson, and if he does play, the Browns do have a shutdown CB in Pro Bowler Joe Haden. That should limit Schaub's effectiveness. This looks like it will turn into a running contest, keeping the scoring down some, so getting 11 points here with what should be an unmotivated Houston club provides good value. The Browns have been 4-1 ATS in their last five when taking 11 or more. The Texans have never been a good momentum team and have covered just one of their last eight following a straight-up win. And, under Gary Kubiak, the Texans are just 12-25 ATS followoing a home game. Take Cleveland and the points in this one.