2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 05, 2008

05

Cincinnati at Dallas

Sunday 10/05 04:15 PM Eastern

2 units on Cincinnati +17 (-125) (risk 2 to return 2)  RESULT: WIN

Well it's easy to see where the odds-makers heads are. They know that the betting public is going to give Dallas a "pass" after their first upset loss. Vegas has given the Cowboys the "Patriots" status of last year, laying up a huge number in this one. The Cowboys certainly are a good team, but 17 is an awful big number and requires everything to go right. That includes having the mental mindset to bring their A game. They know they will likely be facing Ryan Fitzpatrick and won't be worried. In contrast, the Cowboys know they could have this one in the win column before a single snap. Dallas is coming off two extremely important and high-emotion games including an NFC "status" game against the Packers and a hard fought division game vs the Redskins. How can they get up for this one against the Bengals? Cincinnati has looked bad at times this season, but they have also showed some promise playing tough against the Giants on the road. Often when your biggest star goes down, the rest of the team circles the wagons and plays over their head, especially when the player going down is the QB. This game may look easy, but often these games don't go that way (ask the Broncos from last week). I'll back the Bengals and the long spread.

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