2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 11, 2011
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Buffalo at Los Angeles
Sunday 12/11 04:15 PM Eastern
4 units on Buffalo PICK () (risk 4 to return 4) RESULT: LOSS
The Buffalo Bills looked like a playoff team early in the season as they got off to a 4-1 start. They have been reduced by injuries and the once 4-1 team has dropped five straight. As a result of that, and an impressive prime time win for San Diego last week, we get line value on Buffalo here. The Chargers remain overrated. They just broke a 6-game losing streak both straight up and against the spread. So one good game means they are now worthy of a spread over a touchdown? This is a team that continues to dissappoint, and what was once a lot of talent that couldn't win despite having the #1 offense and #1 defense last year is no longer putting up those numbers. Their defense now ranks #12 and their offense is also middle of the pack. The offense has slipped because their QB Phillip Rivers has become a turnover machine. I need to see more than one win by this team to say they are back. After a few huge losses, the Bills are beginning to find their way. They lost their last two vs. two winning teams by a total of 10 points, so this line certainly is suspect here. The Chargers haven't covered 7 points or more this season in three tries. The Bills are highly competitive vs. losing teams at 34-15-1 ATS in their last 50 playing against them. Grab the points and play on Buffalo in this one.
|Los Angeles ChargersChargers||7||9||14||7||37|