2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 25, 2007
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Buffalo at Jacksonville
Sunday 11/25 01:00 PM Eastern
4 units on Buffalo +9.5 (-110) (risk 4 to return 4) RESULT: LOSS
Buffalo saw their four-game winning streak come to an end in a miserable 56-10 rout at the hands of New England. The only thing to say about this one is - throw it out. New England is a man among boys this season and they have blown out everyone not named the Colts. Trent Edwards has made a difference on this Bills team, as they are 5-1 in his starts if you exclude the Patriots game. The Bills defense is vastly underrated and isn't that bad. They have played six games vs. teams ranked 1, 1, 2, 5, 10 and 11. There is no doubt that they have had trouble stopping the league's top offenses, allowing 30.2 ppg vs. these teams. But all others are getting just 10.3 ppg and less than 300 yards per game vs. this Bills defense! The same can be said for their offense. They have played four games vs. the top six defenses in the league, having produced just 9.8 ppg. But versus all other teams, they have managed nearly double that at 19 ppg. Jacksonville is not a team that puts up big points. In their last five games, despite a 3-2 record, the Jags have been out-scored by 16 points. Over those five games, they have yielded 24.6 ppg. Jacksonville just may be looking ahead here a bit to next week's game vs. Indianapolis too. The Bills should be able to score enough here, and hold Jacksonville down enough to make this lofty spread produce a winner for the dog.