2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 09, 2008

09

Baltimore at Houston

Sunday 11/09 01:00 PM Eastern

4 units on Houston -2.5 (-109) (risk 4 to return 4)  RESULT: LOSS

Houston saw their three-game winning streak snapped by Minnesota last week. But who do they have to blame? The Texans were in the red-zone twice late in the game only to turn the ball over. They made a good showing on the road, which speaks volumes for this team, since they are 1-10 in their last 11 road games. I faded them last week in part due to their poor road play. It's a completely different story when they are home, and this will be their fifth home game in their last six. The Texans are 11-3 in their last 14 at home. Sage Rosenfels will get the nod at QB, and his numbers are almost identical to Schaub's so no dropoff is expected. The Ravens are similar to Houston. They have a 3-10 road resume in their last 13. They have won only at San Francisco, Miami and Oakland over the last two years - not exactly a resume you want from a favored road team. They have all kinds of issues on defense now. Dawan Landry, Samari Rolle and Chris McCallister are all hurt. Houston's game is in the air, and they will score plenty here. This is a bad matchup for the now pourous Raven secondary, and I'll back the Texans at home where they are very tough.

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