2014 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 28, 2014

This pick was released to clients on September 25, 2014 at 8:46PM ET.


Atlanta at Minnesota

Sunday 09/28 04:25 PM Eastern

1 unit on Game Total UNDER 47 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)  RESULT: LOSS

The Atlanta Falcons have put up some strong offensive numbers early in the season as the offense has looked unstoppable, at least at home. The Falcons have generated 93 points in two home games, but just 10 in their only road contest. The Vikings' offense without Adrian Peterson has disappeared, as they have managed just 16 total points in the last two weeks. So, Atlanta is going likely going to have to put up a lot of points to get this one over the top. Minnesota has played well defensively where they rank #11 in fewest yards allowed, and allow just 18.7 points per game on the season, which places them #9 best in the league. I think that Atlanta will get over that, but the Minnesota offense not capable of taking advantage of weaknesses in the Falcon defense. The Falcons are 7-1 to the UNDER after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, and 42-17-3 to the UNDER after allowing fewer than 90 rushing yards. The last four meetings have failed to get to the total. Under Mike Smith, the Falcons are 13-5 to UNDER after a win over a division rival and 22-10 UNDER after a game in which they scored 30+ points. The UNDER gets the call in this one.

Falcons 7 7 14 0 28
Vikings 14 10 3 14 41



Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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