New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants Point Spread Picks

New Orleans is 1-4 and lost 23-13 to Minnesota in Week 5 after leading 7-6 at the half, its only first-half lead this season. It scores 6.6 points per first half and has trailed Detroit 7-0, Baltimore 14-6, Las Vegas 16-13 and Atlanta 24-7 at halftime. The five clubs New Orleans has faced are a combined 17-8, and the five the Giants have faced are a combined 6-18-1. The Giants are 3-1-1 with wins over Dallas, Tennessee and Arizona, and they finished 27-27 with Washington after trailing 12-3 at the half. They have allowed 17 first-half points to Arizona and 12 to Washington in their last two games. The bigger share of the money is on New Orleans to win the game. Quarterback Jaxson Dart is out for the season with a knee injury, and Jameis Winston has started the last three games for the Giants. Linebacker Brian Burns went on injured reserve with a torn ACL on September 29, and cornerback Paulson Adebo is on injured reserve with a knee injury. Side with New Orleans First-Half straight-up Sunday afternoon.

The New York Giants have played a tough schedule at 1-3, and playing in New Orleans as a slight dog seems off. The Saints are  0-4 on the season. The Saints have not gained more than 315 yards in any of their four games, while their four opponents have averaged better than 30 points per game against them. The last 14 teams in the NFL that have started the season at 0-4 and are favored in their next game at home are 4-10 ATS. The Giants are going to be a better team with Jackson Dart under center, as he provides a dual-threat quarterback, which will help open up the offense. Make the play on the New York Giants moneyline.

Combine the Saints (-225) and the Eagles (-850) into a 2-team parlay at -163 odds.

New York has won three in a row with the offensive finally coming to life averaging 21.6 points behind QB Tommy DeVito (8 TDs, 3 INTs). The Giants are coming off a 24-22 upset over the Packers on Monday night. The defense is 26th in the NFL in yards allowed and 25th in points surrendered (24.2 per game). New Orleans has scored 28, 28, 24, and 24 points in its last four home contests. The offense is 13th in the NFL in total yards and has a veteran QB in Derek Carr (13 TDs, 7 INTs). Take New York/New Orleans OVER the total. 

I think the fact that the Giants are off to an 0-3 start has a lot to do with this line. The Saints continue to be the public favorite in this game and have now moved this from the opener across a key number, to 7.5. Despite a 2-1 record, the Saints offense, which always was potent under Drew Brees, has taken a big step backward. The Saint offense has produced 233 yards per game, and that's in the danger zone for a team favored by better than a TD. The Giants could just as easily be 2-1 as well, as they lost two games by a total of three points. The line would look a lot different if the Giants were 2-1 coming in instead of 0-3. This looks like a severe over-lay. Make the play on the New York Giants.