Minnesota's defense has been outstanding early, allowing just 12.5 points a game, but its offense has been the story: 39 points in the opener against Green Bay and enough execution in a low-scoring road grind at Chicago to still get to 9. Tampa Bay's own offense isn't the problem, averaging 23 points a game even across two losses, and the issue has been on the other side of the ball, particularly with the football in its own hands. I had Cleveland covering against this same Tampa Bay defense last week, when four early turnovers turned a manageable game into a track meet, and that carelessness is exactly what makes today's number playable for the Vikings. Both offenses have shown they can put points on the board in bunches when the game opens up, and Tampa Bay's turnover issues are the kind of thing that opens a game up fast. Back the OVER today.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Vikings vs. Buccaneers Spread Picks
Get this week's Vikings vs. Buccaneers point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Vikings vs. Buccaneers.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on Minnesota Vikings on the 0 ATS. 68% of the public money was on Minnesota Vikings to win on the moneyline. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Minnesota would win by a score of 23.2 to 18.5 with Minnesota winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
Minnesota at Tampa Bay
Final Score
NFL Pro Pick Results
Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 64% of the public bets were on Minnesota Vikings on the -4 ATS. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Minnesota would win by a score of 25.5 to 20.0 with Minnesota winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
Tampa Bay at Minnesota
Tampa Bay's offense is in transition and opens the new campaign on the road. QB Baker Mayfield has replaced Tom Brady and they have a new offensive coordinator in Dave Canales. The offensive line is still a weak spot and they were just 25th in the NFL in scoring (18.4 points per game) with Brady. The Bucs are on a 4-13 spread run. Minnesota has no such offensive concerns behind QB Kirk Cousins (29 TD, 14 INTs) leading an offense that was seventh in yards, sixth in passing, and eighth in points (24.9 pg) while winning the NFC North. The Vikings were 8-1 straight up at home last season, including a 16-point victory over the Packers in the opener. Play Minnesota.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 51% of the public bets were on Tampa Bay Buccaneers on the -7 ATS. And, 67% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Tampa Bay would win by a score of 29.7 to 22.6 with Tampa Bay winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 74% of the public bets were on Tampa Bay Buccaneers on the +1 ATS. 63% of the public money was on Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win on the moneyline. And, 50% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Tampa Bay would win by a score of 20.0 to 20.0, Tampa Bay winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 64% of the public bets were on Minnesota Vikings on the -3.5 ATS. 61% of the public money was on Minnesota Vikings to win on the moneyline. And, 56% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Minnesota would win by a score of 21.9 to 13.6 with Minnesota winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Get free NFL Picks
I pour over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning. You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.
Get a top-rated pick every day.