Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans Point Spread Picks

Tennessee is seeking its first win and this is a good spot as the Dolphins already have lost two quarterbacks to injuries and will start Tyler Huntley, who was signed off the Ravens' practice squad on Sept. 17. Tim Boyle, who is 0-5 as a starter, will be Huntley's backup. The Titans are hoping QB Will Levis will duplicate his Monday night performance last year when he led Tennessee to a 28-27 victory over the Dolphins rallying his team to 15 points in 52 seconds for the comeback win. Levis has been plagued by turnovers this season, but he is learning a new offense with new coach Brian Callahan. The Titans are 5-0-1 ATS their past six games following a double-digit home loss and Miami is 0-6 ATS dating to last season. The Dolphins also are 0-6 ATS after a loss by at least 14 points and they are averaging just 11 points per game. Their past five games have stayed UNDER and the Dolphins are 6-0 UNDER following a loss. Also, Miami is 5-0 UNDER as a favorite of 0.5-3.0 points. Miami's top two receivers, Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, have underperformed so far this season likely due to the quarterback situation. Take the Titans and the UNDER.

Tennessee is 8-4 UNDER this season and the Titans are scoring only 17.8 points per game and allowing 21.3. Miami allows 22.2 points per game and its past three opponents haven't scored more than 15 points in any of the games. Tennessee won last year's meeting 34-3 and it went UNDER by 3.5 points. The Titans' QB Will Levis is battling an ankle injury, but is expected to play. Levis was sacked six times last week against Indianapolis and the Dolphins defense is tied at No. 3 in the NFL with 41 sacks. Miami held Washington QB Sam Howell to a career-low 127 yards last week. Tennessee is 14-4 UNDER against AFC teams and 19-7 UNDER its past 26 games overall. The UNDER is 7-1 in the Titans' past eight road games and Miami is 9-4 UNDER at home. Play the UNDER as a Max Play.

Amazing Miami is on a 7-0 SU, 6-1-1 ATS run, and this is the second year in a row under coach Brian Flores they've finished strong after a poor start. QB Tua Tagovailoa (15 TDs, nine INTs) leads the offense, and the defense is seventh against the run while leading the NFL in sacks (45). The Dolphins are 20-8-1 ATS as a dog. Tennessee has certainly missed star RB Derrick Henry as they are on a 2-3 SU/ATS run. QB Ryan Tannehill has had to carry the load, and he's been subpar with 15 TDs and 14 picks. He's been sacked 45 times, and his 14 interceptions are the most in the league. The Titans are 40-60 ATS as chalk of 3.5 to 9.5 points and 20-35 ATS at home as a favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. Miami has covered four in a row against Tennessee, and NFL teams with winning records like the Titans are 116-187 ATS off of a win as a home dog. Play Miami.

Tennessee opens the season on the road with a new coach in Mike Vrabel. They have a new playbook with first-year offensive coordinator Matt LaFleur and quarterback Marcus Mariota plays his first real game since a season-ending injury last year. It's going to take some time for this offense to get in gear. And Mariota struggled through his worst pro season (13 TDs, 15 INTs) in 2017. The Titans are on a 9-21 spread run on the road, as well as 15-39-4 ATS against the AFC. The Tennessee defense looks better, upgrading the linebacker depth in the draft and signing CB Malcolm Butler from the Patriots. Defenses are often ahead of the offenses this time of the season and note that the Titans are 8-3 UNDER the total in Week 1. Miami got QB Ryan Tannehill some good weapons in free-agent additions Albert Wilson (Kansas City) and WR Danny Amendola (New England). The defense began a youth movement last season as one of only three teams to have played at least eight rookies on 'D.' They got better as the season went along, including a late season win at Denver (35-9) and an upset of the Patriots (27-20). The defensive line also got better after adding Robert Quinn in a trade from the Rams. The Dolphins are 8-2 UNDER the total in Week 1 and the underdog is 5-1 ATS when these teams clash. This shapes up as a Week 1 defensive duel, so back home field in a game with little scoring. Play Miami and the UNDER.