Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants Point Spread Picks

The Giants have been patching their quarterback room all week, signing Jake Haener after Brandon Allen struggled through the opener and Joe Webb retired outright, opening a roster spot. New York's banged-up offensive line also has the staff wary of exposing Jaxson Dart to much more than a handful of snaps. Miami is dealing with its own uncertainty behind center. Quinn Ewers missed practice time this week, and Malik Willis has looked sharp enough in his place that Cam Miller and Mark Gronowski could end up handling most of the offense regardless of who starts. Two teams leaning on backup and camp-arm quarterbacks tend to produce the kind of shaky pocket play and busted coverages that inflate scoring, not the clean execution that keeps a total under wraps. Both rosters are also picking through roster-bubble players on defense, trying to save a job before cutdowns, and that combination of green arms and leaky units is where this number gets loose. Go with the OVER.

Miami scored 70 points against Denver and it appears the offense will have to continue to carry the Dolphins as they are #28 in the league in scoring defense at 29.8 points per game and Buffalo toyed with them in its 48-20 win last week. The Bills piled up 414 total offense yards and Josh Allen threw for 320 yards with no interceptions. It gives New York an opportunity to get its offense going after an ugly loss to Seattle on Monday night. However, the Giants allowed only 281 yards of offense and the Seahawks had only one real drive to speak of and that was seven plays and 75 yards just before halftime and was led by backup Drew Lock. The Giants are 6-0 ATS the past six times they played on a Sunday following a Monday night game and they are 8-3 ATS as road underdogs and 8-3 ATS overall after a loss. The Dolphins are 1-8-1 ATS their past 10 October games and 0-7 ATS at home off a double-digit ATS division loss. Grab the big points with the Giants as a Max Play.

Following its 13-7 snoozer win over the Eagles on Sunday, New York has gone UNDER five straight games. The Giants are averaging only 16.5 points their last six games, and they are #24 in total yards (#26 in rushing yards). Miami averages only 80.2 rushing yards per game for #31 in the league while scoring just 19.5 points per game. Daniel Jones completed 19 of 30 for 202 yards and a touchdown against Philadelphia, and Saquan Barkley still hasn't fully recovered from knee and ankle injuries and maybe never will. He gained only 40 yards on 13 carries, and one of those was for 32 yards. The Dolphins have allowed only 14.4 points their last five games as they have gone on a four-game winning streak. They held the Panthers to 198 total yards last week, and Cam Newton had his worst game ever. Miami has gone UNDER four of its last five games, and it is 10-4 UNDER as a favorite. New York is 20-6-1 UNDER in its past 27 games overall and 9-1 UNDER after an ATS win. Take the UNDER here.

There were many experts who thought Miami wouldn't win a single game this year, but the Dolphins surprisingly have won three. Miami would have beaten the Jets last week except for Sam Ficken's 44-yard field goal as time expired. Miami QB Ryan Fitzpatrick was 21-of-37 for 245 yards and he has a 62.2-percent completion rate while throwing for 2,511 yards in 12 games. Miami has been a big money maker lately, covering seven of its last nine games and the Dolphins are getting points this week against the Giants, who have lost nine in a row. New York couldn't beat the injury-riddled Eagles on Monday night even though Eli Manning returned and the Giants had a 14-point lead before losing in overtime. New York has the #26 offense in the league in yards gained and it's also #26 in rushing yards and averages 19 points per game. The Dolphins have covered five of their last six versus teams with losing records and five of six when following a loss. The Giants are 5-16-1 ATS their last 22 home games and 2-6-1 ATS their last nine as favorites and 2-6 ATS their last eight overall. The Giants are playing out the string and coach Pat Shurmer is hanging by a thread and meanwhile Miami is scrapping for every win it can get. Take the Dolphins.