Los Angeles Rams vs Tennessee Titans Point Spread Picks

The LA Rams played a very defensive game vs. Houston last week. Neither team was able to put up 300 total yards in the game, and the Rams came away with a 14-9 win. The Titans' offense was about as bad as it gets last week in Denver. They went for just 133 total yards, and turned the ball over twice, but managed to stay in the game as they lost by 20-12, a one-possession game. Tennessee allowed Denver to gain just over 300 yards, and they also forced four turnovers. These teams have shown little offense, but each has been strong defensively. Getting six points against a team that struggled last week at home on offense, and now playing on the road as a 6-point favorite, is overdone. Make the play on Tennessee.

Tennessee lost RB Derrick Henry, but this is a well-coached team with excellent balance and depth. QB Ryan Tannehill has great weapons in WRs A.J. Brown and Julio Jones and is off a season where he threw 33 TDs with 7 picks. The Titans are currently sixth in the NFL in points scored (28.4 per game), while the defense is eighth against the run and #16 on third down. Tennessee is 7-2 ATS away against teams with a winning home mark, 58-34 ATS in non-conference tilts, and 13-4 ATS versus defenses that allow 5.65+ yards per play. They've done great in the role of an underdog with a 33-30 win at Seattle as a +6.5 dog, a 27-3 win at Kansas City, and a 34-31 victory over Buffalo as a touchdown underdog. Los Angeles is getting overvalued by the public while failing to cover two straight as big chalk against the worst teams in the NFL, Detroit and Houston. Also, NFL favorites that are outgaining their opponents by 0.75+ yards per play are 15-50 ATS after getting 400+ total yards over the last three games. Play Tennessee.

The L.A. Rams can play any style on offense, seventh in the NFL in rushing led by budding star RB Todd Gurley (1,187 yards). Lost in the shuffle of their explosive offense is a solid all-around defense that is #12 in yards allowed, and fifth in points. Los Angeles is 11-5 UNDER the total against a team with a winning record, plus 35-16 UNDER versus an opponent with a winning home record. This is a tough situational spot for the Rams, off a big division win at Seattle and now they fly 3,000 miles to the East Coast. The Rams are 15-38-1 ATS after allowing fewer than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Tennessee is 5-1 straight-up at home and prefers to run the pigskin at #13 in rushing, #25 in passing yards. They will look to control the ball and the clock by rushing to keep the football out of the hands of the Rams' passing attack. The Titans' defense is solid, too, at #13 in yards allowed. They are home after playing four of the last five on the road and the Titans are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. Tennessee has allowed 13, 20, 20 and 22 points its last four home games, so back the home team in a defensive duel. Play Tennessee and the UNDER.