Los Angeles Rams vs New York Giants Point Spread Picks

Los Angeles lost its opener in Australia in ugly fashion, run off the field by San Francisco, 27-7, the kind of result that raises real questions. New York, meanwhile, looked sharp in its own opener, beating Dallas at home in a tight, high-scoring fight that came down to the fourth quarter. That is exactly the profile that tends to bite a team the following week: a close, emotional, high-scoring home win rarely repeats itself on the road against a team looking to answer. Sean McVay is in his ninth season running this Rams program, and one lopsided week is not enough of a sample to rewrite what that team is, especially at home with a chance to respond immediately. New York walks into a desperate home team off a bad week, eager to answer, and the kind of let-down spot that often follows a big emotional win. History favors the team looking to bounce back over the team still riding the high. Side with Los Angeles on the spread tonight.

Sean McVay is doing a masterful job with the Los Angeles Rams, who most thought were in a rebuilding mode, but they are in the thick of the playoff race with an 8-7 record while winning five of their past six games. The Rams beat New Orleans last Thursday night and held the Saints to 35 yards rushing and Matthew Stafford threw for 328 yards and two TDs with no interceptions. The Rams have had three extra days to prepare for this game and New York has lost two straight after giving all it had against Philadelphia on Monday before losing 33-25. It will be tough for the Giants to bounce back from that loss especially on a short week and the previous week they lost 24-6 to New Orleans. New York went OVER by 17 points against the Eagles for its fourth OVER in six games. Los Angeles has gone OVER four of five, including by 6.5 points against the Saints. The Giants surrendered 465 yards against Philadelphia, including 170 on the ground. Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS its past five games, but go with the Rams on the moneyline and the OVER.

Los Angeles comes off a 26-17 win over Seattle, which finished the game with Geno Smith at quarterback after Russell Wilson went out with a middle finger injury. Matthew Stafford completed 25 of 37 for 365 yards and a touchdown with an interception. Now the Rams are laying double digits, which is seldom easy in the NFL especially playing three time zones away from home. New York ran into a buzz saw at Dallas losing 44-20, but the Giants did defeat New Orleans 27-21 in overtime the week before after losing two previous games in the final seconds. Mike Glennon could get the start after completing 16 of 25 passes for 196 yards with a TD against the Cowboys. It could be an upgrade from Daniel Jones, who is recovering from a concussion. The Giants covered last year losing 17-9 as a 13.5-point underdog. The Rams went UNDER by 10.5 points against the Seahawks and they are 11-4 UNDER as road favorites, 21-7 their past 28 games as favorites overall. New York is 20-8 ATS after an ATS loss and it has stayed UNDER 10 of its past 13 games. Take the Giants and the UNDER.

New York has had a brutal schedule. Oddsmakers and the public are down on them after getting blowout out at home by the talented 49ers, but this team was competitive in the first two games, losing 26-16 to Pittsburgh and 17-13 to Chicago. Two of those three teams are in the top three in the league defensively in yards allowed. The Giants' defense is #13 in yards allowed, #17 in points surrendered, allowing 23.7 points per contest. New York is on a 13-4 ATS run on the road, including 11-3 ATS as a road dog. They are also 46-25 ATS away versus teams that average 350+ yards passing per game. They are a huge dog to a Los Angeles team in a difficult situational spot, home after playing two straight road games at Buffalo and Philly. The Rams' defense has been subpar, #18 in total yards allowed, #20 against the pass (253.3 pg). NFL favorites of 10.5 points or more are 18-45 ATS after having won two of their last three October games, and if those teams are home they are 13-39 ATS. Play New York.