Los Angeles Rams vs New York Giants Point Spread Picks

Sean McVay is doing a masterful job with the Los Angeles Rams, who most thought were in a rebuilding mode, but they are in the thick of the playoff race with an 8-7 record while winning five of their past six games. The Rams beat New Orleans last Thursday night and held the Saints to 35 yards rushing and Matthew Stafford threw for 328 yards and two TDs with no interceptions. The Rams have had three extra days to prepare for this game and New York has lost two straight after giving all it had against Philadelphia on Monday before losing 33-25. It will be tough for the Giants to bounce back from that loss especially on a short week and the previous week they lost 24-6 to New Orleans. New York went OVER by 17 points against the Eagles for its fourth OVER in six games. Los Angeles has gone OVER four of five, including by 6.5 points against the Saints. The Giants surrendered 465 yards against Philadelphia, including 170 on the ground. Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS its past five games, but go with the Rams on the moneyline and the OVER.

Los Angeles comes off a 26-17 win over Seattle, which finished the game with Geno Smith at quarterback after Russell Wilson went out with a middle finger injury. Matthew Stafford completed 25 of 37 for 365 yards and a touchdown with an interception. Now the Rams are laying double digits, which is seldom easy in the NFL especially playing three time zones away from home. New York ran into a buzz saw at Dallas losing 44-20, but the Giants did defeat New Orleans 27-21 in overtime the week before after losing two previous games in the final seconds. Mike Glennon could get the start after completing 16 of 25 passes for 196 yards with a TD against the Cowboys. It could be an upgrade from Daniel Jones, who is recovering from a concussion. The Giants covered last year losing 17-9 as a 13.5-point underdog. The Rams went UNDER by 10.5 points against the Seahawks and they are 11-4 UNDER as road favorites, 21-7 their past 28 games as favorites overall. New York is 20-8 ATS after an ATS loss and it has stayed UNDER 10 of its past 13 games. Take the Giants and the UNDER.

New York has had a brutal schedule. Oddsmakers and the public are down on them after getting blowout out at home by the talented 49ers, but this team was competitive in the first two games, losing 26-16 to Pittsburgh and 17-13 to Chicago. Two of those three teams are in the top three in the league defensively in yards allowed. The Giants' defense is #13 in yards allowed, #17 in points surrendered, allowing 23.7 points per contest. New York is on a 13-4 ATS run on the road, including 11-3 ATS as a road dog. They are also 46-25 ATS away versus teams that average 350+ yards passing per game. They are a huge dog to a Los Angeles team in a difficult situational spot, home after playing two straight road games at Buffalo and Philly. The Rams' defense has been subpar, #18 in total yards allowed, #20 against the pass (253.3 pg). NFL favorites of 10.5 points or more are 18-45 ATS after having won two of their last three October games, and if those teams are home they are 13-39 ATS. Play New York.

The Giants head West with a one-dimensional offense, all passing, all the time. The Giants rank #30 in rushing, but have a fine air attack, third in the NFL with 288.2 yards passing per contest. QB Eli Manning has WRs Odell Beckham, Jr. (581 yards), Sterling Shepard (302), and Victor Cruz (276), but they are a long way from home in London, England, having lost their last two road games by 14 and 7 points. The Giants are 10-4 OVER the total on fieldturf and face an improving Los Angeles offense that has averaged 25.3 points the last four contests. QB Case Keenum has thrown 7 TDs, 4 picks, his last four games. Keenum came up with one of his best games ever as a pro last week, completing 27-of-32 passes for 321 yards and three touchdowns on the road at Detroit. However, the defense is slipping, allowing 31 and 30 the last two games. Still, they have turned things around. The Rams is on a 3-2 SU and 3-1-1 ATS run, winning twice as a dog. They match up well with the Giants as Keenum is on a nice roll, and they will have a balanced attack with RB Todd Gurley. And the Rams are 8-3 ATS after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Play the Rams and OVER the total.