Los Angeles Chargers vs New York Giants Point Spread Picks

New York still has covered four of its last six games, even after losing 20-9 to Miami on Sunday. Also, the Giants have been decent defensively allowing only 16.0 points per game in their last six while going UNDER every game by an average of 14 points. Mike Glennon was adequate filling in for Daniel Jones, throwing for 187 yards and completing 23 of 44. He'll likely start again as he is expected to be out of concussion protocol by then, and the Giants don't want to risk further injury to Jones. Los Angeles took advantage of four Cincinnati turnovers to win 41-22, but that was after losing 28-13 at Denver. New York is 21-8 ATS its last 29 road games and 19-7 as a road underdog (4-1 ATS overall following a loss). The Chargers are 18-40-1 ATS their past 59 home games, 5-11-1 ATS their past 17 versus teams with losing records, and they could be missing their two leading receivers in Mike Williams and Keenan Allen, who are on the COVID-19 list. The UNDER is 11-2-1 in the Giants' past 14 games following an ATS loss, and they are 11-4 UNDER as road underdogs. The Chargers are 20-8-1 UNDER in December and 16-7 UNDER their past 23 games as home favorites. Take the Giants for a Max Play and the UNDER.

Something has to give as both teams are looking for their first win, and the Chargers might have the road team advantage after feeling unwanted at its actual home field in Los Angeles. Philip Rivers passed for 347 yards and two touchdowns in a 26-24 loss to Philadelphia last Sunday, and the game went OVER by two points. New York has gone OVER its last two games, including its 25-23 loss at Tampa Bay in Week 4 as Eli Manning completed 30-of-49 passes for 288 yards in another heartbreaking loss on a last-second field goal for the second week in a row. Coach Ben McAdoo said he's going back to basics, but the fact that he has to do it in Week 5 doesn't bode well for a team that has played sloppy football on both sides of the ball, including dropped passes on offense and a defense that can't close out games. Odell Beckham, Jr. is day-to-day with ankle and finger injuries. The Chargers have gone OVER six of their last seven October games, and Rivers will have a good day against a Giants secondary that allowed 332 passing yards by Jameis Winston in the loss to the Buccaneers. The wrong team is favored in this matchup, so take the Chargers and the OVER.

New York's secondary has been picked apart for 38 points per game over their last three games and suddenly a team that looked like a Super Bowl contender has slipped to third in their own division. Despite the recent lapses, the Giants remain one of the top defensive teams in the league. Regardless what has happened recently, this Giants defense is still a league-best 31% conversion rate on third downs by their opponents. I would expect them to come out focused and angry for this one. They have a bye coming after this and simply can't afford another poor game going into the two week break. The Chargers’ running game has been grounded all season as Sproles and Tomlinson are finding no room to operate. San Diego is not the explosive team they once were as they have become a one-dimensional team and that should help the Giants defense. What has changed for the Chargers is that the defense is much better and currently ranks No. 12 in the league. Their biggest weakness is their rush defense so expect alot of Jacobs and Bradshaw which will eat up clock. And, the Giants have gone UNDER the total 67% of the time in their last 46 games vs. teams that allow 130+ rushing yards per game. In addition, the G-Men under Tom Coughlin are 26-16 UNDER following a game that went OVER. How good have the Giants been after getting burned bad defensively? They have come back in their next game after allowing 30+ to play 10-1-1 to the UNDER! That includes their recent debacle vs. New Orleans. Under Coughlin, they are 9-1 UNDER at home after a game in which they were torched for 175+ yards on the ground. In other words, Coughlin will have this defense ready to go. I like this one to go UNDER the total as the oddsmakers are reacting the way the public will see this one and this is set too high.