Urban Meyer adds to the long list of successful college football coaches who flopped in the NFL. Jacksonville turns to an established NFL leader in Doug Pederson, who won a Super Bowl as coach of the Eagles just five years ago. Pederson inherits a talented young QB in Trevor Lawrence and the front office moved quickly in free agency to put veteran talent around him. WR Zay Jones (546 yards with the Raiders) and tight end Evan Engram (408 yards with the Giants) are aboard, along with five-time Pro Bowl right guard Brandon Scherff from Washington, the fifth overall pick in 2018. Pederson will call the plays and often used a two-tight end set with the Eagles, which will help protect Lawrence with extra blocking and safety valve targets. The defense was actually the priority in the draft, taking LB Travon Walker at No. 1 overall along with LB Devin Lloyd, also a first-round pick. Washington is a home favorite but has been a dysfunctional mess for years, 66-103 ATS in the role of favorite. Carson Wentz becomes the seventh-different starting signal caller since 2020 while his contract ate up much of their cap space. The pass protection was poor last year (43 sacks allowed) and lost its best player, Scherff, to these Jaguars. The 2021 defense was #21 in yards allowed, #28 in pass defense, #24 in points surrendered, and #31 on third down (48.47%). Washington is 16-36 ATS at home in September, plus 44-75 ATS as a home favorite. Play Jacksonville.
Previous Matchups & Picks
September 11, 2022 1:00pm ET
@

Jacksonville Jaguars
#469

Washington Commanders
#470
Lines & Odds
+3 (-110)
ATS
-3 (-110)
+135
Moneyline
-156
OVER 43 (-110)
Total
UNDER 43 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 59% of the public bets were on Washington Commanders on the -3 ATS. And, 57% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Washington would win by a score of 23.4 to 18.4 with Washington winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Premium Picks
This pick was released to clients on September 08, 2023 at 1:08PM ET.
Jacksonville at Washington
September 11, 2022
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Jacksonville Jaguars
3
0
9
10
22
Washington Commanders
7
7
0
14
28
NFL Premium Pick Results
Here’s how my premium picks are performing.
NFLNFL
All Picks last 23.4 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,995
2,677
+171.46
NFLNFL
Max Plays last 23.4 years
Wins
Losses
Units
1,248
1,061
+156.64
NFLNFL
Free Picks last 15.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
245
163
+92.45
NFLNFL
All Playoff Picks last 12.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
212
162
+46.64
NFLNFL
All Preseason Picks last 22.0 years
Wins
Losses
Units
445
386
+37.24