Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers Point Spread Picks

Brandon Staley chose to play some of his regulars against Denver even though the Chargers had locked into the No. 5 seed and it backfired as star wide receiver Mike Williams suffered a back injury and is day-to-day. Justin Herbert completed 25 of 37 for 273 yards and two touchdowns, but the Chargers ran for only 59 yards on 22 carries against the Broncos. The Chargers had gone UNDER five in a row before Saturday's game while allowing an average of only 13.6 points in that span. Jacksonville went UNDER its last three games of the regular season, including its 20-16 division-clinching win over Tennessee in which the Jaguars defense was the major factor as it came up with the big plays when needed. Jacksonville allows 20.6 points per game compared to 22.6 for Los Angeles, which is the third-worst rushing team in the NFL with just 89.6 yards per game. Jacksonville is 19-9 UNDER its past 28 games versus teams with winning records and 11-3 UNDER overall its past 14 home games. Also, the Jags have stayed UNDER 15 of 21 after an ATS loss. The Chargers have stayed UNDER four of five playoff games. This will be Trevor Lawrence's first postseason experience. Take the UNDER as a Max Play.

New Jacksonville coach Doug Pederson is very good at getting the most out of offenses and the Jags are averaging 26 points behind second-year QB Trevor Lawrence (3 TDs, 1 INT). Jacksonville is 34-17 OVER the total after allowing 9 points or fewer in the last game, while Pederson is 16-5 OVER the total on the road as an NFL head coach in the first half of the season. Los Angeles is its own young star QB in Justin Herbert (6 TDs, 1 INT). The Chargers are a pass-happy offense throwing for 613 yards and rushing for 151, a minuscule 2.7 yards per carry. The defense is allowing 23 points per game and ranks #26 allowing 5.1 yards per rush. NFL teams like Jacksonville off a win by 10+ points against a divisional foe are 74-37 OVER the total in September games and this matchup should be an offensive show. Take Jacksonville/Los Angeles OVER the total.

Jacksonville has an opportunity to finally get the money as it is at least a touchdown underdog against the 1-4 Los Angeles Chargers, who continue to blow games that they should win. The latest loss was 30-27 in overtime at New Orleans after leading 20-10 at halftime, and the Chargers once again couldn't get a win despite another fine performance from rookie quarterback Justin Herbert, who has thrown for 1,195 yards with nine touchdowns and only three interceptions in four games that were all losses. The Jaguars lost to Detroit with Gardner Minshew completing 25 of 44 for 243 yards and a TD, but the Jags could only muster 44 rushing yards. The Chargers are only 16-34-1 ATS their last 51 home games and 4-9 ATS following a bye week. Also, the Chargers are just 9-24-1 ATS as home favorites, and they play down to their competition with a 1-5-1 ATS record their last seven games versus teams with losing records. Grab the points with the Jaguars for a Max Play.

LA makes the 3,000-mile road trip for for this one. The Chargers are 2-5 straight up on the road averaging just 19.7 points per game. This team is also on a 3-8 SU and ATS run overall and they are playing their fifth road game over the last seven contests. They come in off a 23-20 loss at Denver, losing outright as a favorite. Meanwhile, Jacksonville plays its fourth home game over the last six contests for a little home-cooking. They’ve got quarterback stability now as coach Doug Marrone has done the right thing by benching $88-million bust Nick Foles. QB Gardner Minshew will start the rest of the season. Minshew started eight straight games and led the Jaguars to a 4-4 record, throwing for 2,285 yards and 13 touchdowns with just four interceptions. This is a team that is much closer to .500 with him at the helm, and they are getting points at home. Take Jacksonville.