Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Point Spread Picks

Kansas City is on the brink of missing the playoffs and can't afford any more losses, while Houston is riding a four-game win streak with a margin of victory of just 4.5 points in those games. The Chiefs have won the past five meetings, including 23-14 in last year's playoffs. They have won five home games in a row this season against some tough competition, including Baltimore, Detroit, and Indianapolis. The Chiefs also had three extra days to prepare after losing to Dallas on Thanksgiving Day, while Houston beat the Colts on Sunday. Pat Mahomes was 23 of 34 for 261 yards and four TDs with no interceptions against the Cowboys. Kansas City has gone UNDER six of seven overall, and the Chiefs are 8-3 UNDER their past 11 against the AFC South. Houston leads the league in points allowed with 16.5, but the Chiefs are not far behind, yielding 19.3. The UNDER is 5-0 in Kansas City's past five games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in its previous game. The Chiefs have gone UNDER five straight following a loss, and the Texans are 4-0 UNDER after a win. Take the Chiefs on the moneyline and the UNDER.

Saturday night in Kansas City will be 25 degrees and windy — not exactly great weather for offensive football — as these two outstanding defensive teams square off. Houston's defense was fifth during the regular season in total yards allowed, third on third down (35.50%), and fifth in the red zone. Houston is 11-7-1 UNDER the total. Kansas City's defense was ninth in total yards allowed, fourth in points given up (19.2 per game), and eighth in the red zone. The Chiefs are on a 10-5 run UNDER the total. Take Houston/Kansas City UNDER the total.

Houston had gone UNDER four consecutive games before Sunday's game went OVER in the final seconds when Dallas scored to take the lead and win 27-23. The Texans are averaging only 16.2 points this season and allowing 24.2 while Kansas City allows 22.9 points per game. Davis Mills completed 16 of 21 for 175 yards and no touchdowns with an interception against the Cowboys. Houston running back Dameon Pierce is doubtful with an ankle injury and the Texans already are second-to-last in the league in total offense yards. Kansas City is #15 in yards allowed and #6 in rush defense. The Chiefs have gone UNDER five of six games following a win and they are 7-3 UNDER versus AFC teams. Houston is 8-3 UNDER its past 11 after an ATS win and it has stayed UNDER four of its past five following a loss. Kansas City is 5-3 UNDER its last eight games. Play the UNDER as a Max Play.