Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Point Spread Picks

Jacksonville opened the season at 4-1, but has since gone 1-2 in its last three games, thanks mainly to getting just one turnover in those three games. They have scored 20 or more points in six of their previous seven games. Houston scored just 38 total points in their first three games, but in their last five games, they have scored 130 points, averaging 26 points per game. Despite this, the Texans are just 3-5 straight-up and ATS, and now they are without CJ Stroud. Additionally, road teams in road games have historically been an excellent bet. Jacksonville has been 11-6 to the OVER in their last 17 games following a win, and are 11-7 to the OVER in their previous 18 games on the road. Fade Davis Mills and make the play on the Jags and to go OVER this very low total.

Winless Houston has been in both games, losing 14-9 to the Rams and 20-19 to Tampa Bay. They lost to the Bucs last week on a touchdown with six seconds left. The defense is seventh in the NFL in points allowed, while QB C.J. Stroud is excellent, with 44 TDs and 18 picks in his young career. The Texans are on a 5-3-1 ATS run on the road. Rebuilding Jacksonville comes off a 31-27 loss to Cincinnati. QB Trevor Lawrence has thrown three interceptions in two games. Houston swept the series against the Jaguars last year and is 3-1 SU/ATS in the previous four meetings, including a 37-17 win on this field as a +7.5 underdog. Play Houston.

Minnesota gave a blueprint on how to defend C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans as he was sacked five times and threw his first interception in 10 starts. The Texans were held to 296 yards of offense and lost 34-7 to the Vikings, who totaled only 274 net yards themselves and the game went UNDER by 5.5 points. Houston is averaging just 18.3 points this season, including a 19-13 win over Chicago that stayed UNDER by 13.5 points. Jacksonville is seeking its first win after losing two close games to Miami and Cleveland before running into a buzz saw at Buffalo and losing 47-10. The Jaguars are 5-0 ATS their past five games after allowing more than 35 points against a non-division conference team. Jacksonville is 11-1 UNDER as a division road dog of more than three points and the posted total is more than 43. The Texans are 1-4-1 ATS their past six September games and eight of the past 12 meetings with the Jaguars have gone UNDER. Take the Jaguars and the UNDER.