Green Bay Packers vs Washington Football Team Point Spread Picks

Washington's offense has been better since QB Taylor Heinecke (9 TDs, 6 INTs) took over. Washington is 9-4 ATS after a double-digit loss at home, and coach Ron Rivera is 20-8 ATS after two or more straight ATS losses. This is the only home game for the Packers in five weeks, home from a two-game trip with another two-game trek on deck, including a showdown at Arizona next week. Green Bay's offense isn't as explosive as the old days, averaging 24.4 points the last two weeks, winning by 3 and 10 points over the Bengals and Bears. It's a team that has traveled a lot, playing four of their first six on the road. The Packers are 9-22 ATS at home against defenses that allow 6+ yards per play, while Washington is 59-39 ATS versus QBs who complete 64% or more of their passes. Play Washington.

Washington has won two in a row after a 29-21 victory over the Panthers as Derrius Guice rushed for 129 yards and two touchdowns. Adrian Peterson showed he still has something left in the tank and ran for 99 yards and a TD. The Redskins also gained some confidence defensively as they made a goal-line stand in the final minute to preserve the win. Rookie QB Dwayne Haskins was more than adequate completing 13-of-25 for 147 yards with no interceptions. The Redskins won last year's meeting 31-17 over the Packers, who bounced back from a terrible performance at San Francisco to defeat the hapless Giants. Surprisingly, Washington is ranked #19 defensively in yards allowed and that is higher than #28 Green Bay. The Redskins have covered their last four versus NFC teams and they only have to look at what the Chargers and 49ers did to contain Aaron Rodgers and the Packer offense. Green Bay is 1-4-1 ATS its last six games after scoring at least 30 points its previous game and 1-4 ATS when following an ATS win. This is a lookahead spot for Green Bay with division games coming up the last three weeks of the season. Take the big points with the Redskins.

It's only two games into the season, but Green Bay is already in a tough scheduling spot after two games that went down to the wire, including an overtime tie last week against Minnesota. Now the Packers have to go on the road to play Washington, which will be focused for this one after losing to the Colts last week. Alex Smith finished 33-for-46 despite some drops by his receivers and the offensive line needs improvement. Green Bay's first two games have gone OVER and Aaron Rodgers played with a knee brace while throwing for 281 yards on 30-for-42 against the Vikings. Rodgers is officially listed as day-to-day, but is expected to play this week. The Packers are 14-3 OVER their last 17 games after recording at least 350 total offense yards their previous game. The Redskins have covered five of their last six games after a loss dating to last season and they are 4-1 ATS after an ATS loss. Green Bay is 36-17 OVER its last 53 road contests and 24-7 OVER its last 31 games overall. The teams last met in 2016 and the Redskins won 42-24 on the road. Go with the Redskins and the OVER.

Washington would like to forget the first week of preseason when it lost 23-3 to the Ravens while gaining only 138 net yards. Quarterback Kirk Cousins called it a "wake-up call" and the Redskins have won and covered Week 2 of the preseason the last four years, including a 22-18 win over the Jets in 2016 as a 3 1/2 point favorite. Coach Jay Gruden is 9-4 straight-up and 8-5 ATS in his preseason career and likely will have his team focused to avoid another embarrassment especially on its home field. Green Bay defeated the Eagles 24-9 as Brett Hundley was 8-of-15 with one interception followed by Joe Callahan (10-of-16 for 103 yards) and Taysom Hill (four-of-five for 69 yards). Washington has won and covered eight straight in its first preseason home game and the Redskins beat the Packers 42-24 in the 2016 regular season. Green Bay had as much trouble running the ball as the Redskins, gaining only 47 yards on 18 carries against Philadelphia. The fact that Washington is favored after last week's loss is an indicator that it will bounce back with a better performance. Take the Redskins.

Folks are perplexed by Green Bay's mid-season slump, capped by last week's 47-25 loss at Tennessee. But let's just relax, as QB Aaron Rodgers said during another mini-slump. Last season, the Pack lost five of six in the mid-season before turning things around and making the playoffs. Green Bay has one of the elite quarterbacks in the league with Rodgers (22 TDs, seven INTs) leading an offense that is #11 in the NFL in points (24.8 points per game), and #14 in passing. And the defense is still ranked #10 in yards. The Packers are 35-16 ATS after allowing 350+ total yards, plus 14-5 UNDER the total against the NFC. Green Bay is only one game out of first place in the NFC North and faces a Washington team that has outscored opponents by just three points this year despite playing an easy schedule. When they opened the year against the Steelers and Cowboys they lost both, 38-16 and 27-23 -- the latter as chalk. Washington's defense is #21 in yards allowed and #17 in points. The Redskins are 9-25 ATS at home against a team with a losing road record, plus 12-5 UNDER the total at home vs. a team with a losing road mark. These teams met on this field back in January and the Packers rolled as an underdog, 35-18. Green Bay ran for 141 yards and won easily despite going just 3-of-11 on third down. And the Packers' first four drives went: punt, safety, punt, punt. Don't count the talented Packers out just yet. And with cool, windy conditions expected in Washington Sunday, grab the experienced visitors with the elite QB to win a defensive game. Take the Packers straight up and also take the UNDER.