Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles Point Spread Picks

Philadelphia has gone OVER five of its past six games, including by 15 points, while defeating the New York Giants 38-20 before its bye week. The Eagles are 5-0 OVER their past five against NFC teams and 6-0 OVER versus opponents with winning records. Green Bay is 4-0 OVER following an ATS loss and 3-1-1 OVER its past five games. The Packers have gone OVER eight of their past 10 against the NFC and seven of eight versus the NFC East. Jalen Hurts went 15-for-20 for 179 yards and four TDs with no interceptions against the Giants, and the Eagles accumulated 427 yards of offense. The Packers had averaged 32.3 points per game in their previous four games before inexplicably losing 16-13 to Carolina. Jordan Love threw for 273 yards, but with no TD passes. Look for Love to bounce back against the Eagles. Take the OVER.

Green Bay has some good news: Jordan Love has been a full participant in practice this week after dealing with an elbow issue following Sunday's game against Chicago. Backup QB Malik Willis completed 10 of 13 for 136 yards and no interceptions against the Bears. Jalen Hurts will likely play after coming out of concussion protocol, but it's questionable how ready he will be. Green Bay can counter Saquon Barkley, the Eagles' star running back, with Josh Jacobs, who finished with 1,329 rushing yards. The Packers were #5 in the NFL in rushing yards with 146.8 per game. The Packers are 8-1 when Jacobs gets at least 18 carries in a game. Green Bay shocked the Cowboys with a blowout win at Dallas a year ago, so the Packers are no strangers to being a road underdog. Green Bay is 5-0 OVER as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points and 4-0 OVER as a road dog overall. The Packers would like to avenge a season-opening 34-29 loss to the Eagles in a game that soared OVER by 13.5 points. Green Bay is 11-4 OVER their past 15 road games, and Philadelphia has gone OVER five of seven against the NFC North. Take the Packers on the moneyline and the OVER.

Green Bay's defense has been better than the offense, ranked 14th in yards allowed, 13th in the red zone, and eighth on third down (34.9%). Meanwhile, the offense is just 26th in the league in scoring (18.4 ppg). In five road games this season, the Packers have averaged 13.6 points, going 4-1 to the UNDER. The Eagles' offense can go ball-control behind mobile QB Jalen Hurts (440 rushing yards) and they can exploit a Green Bay run defense that is in the bottom 10, plus 21st in yards rushing per carry allowed. But, can the Eagles win by a touchdown here? The Pack defense is allowing just 21 poionts per game and Philly's offense has slowed of late. The Eagles have scored 21 or less in three of their last six games. Under Matt LaFleur, the Pack are 12-4 ATS as an underdog and also 12-4 ATS following a loss. Take Green Bay plus the points and the UNDER.

Philadelphia is well-coached, and the defense is playing great allowing 21, 9, 27, 22, and 23 points in five straight games. Pro Bowl tight end Zach Ertz is back after missing the past five games with an ankle injury. They have been an underdog this big two other times this season and won at San Francisco, 25-20, and lost to Baltimore, 30-28, as a +10 dog. Green Bay's defense has allowed 34 and 25 points the last two games and is getting overvalued by oddsmakers, failing to cover four of their last seven, including a 1-2 ATS run at home. The road team has covered five of six when these teams clash, and this shapes up as a close one. Play Philadelphia.