Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots Point Spread Picks

Patriots vs. Packers Spread Picks

Get this week's Patriots vs. Packers point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Patriots vs. Packers.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 56% of the public bets were on Green Bay Packers on the -9.5 ATS. And, 50% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Green Bay would win by a score of 24.3 to 19.2 with Green Bay winning on the moneyline, New England winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on September 29, 2023 at 11:34AM ET.

NFL

New England at Green Bay

October 2, 2022

4:25 PM Eastern

The New England Patriots will head to Green Bay and QB Mac Jones will miss the game. This reminds me of a game last year in Buffalo where the New England game plan due to heavy winds was to just run the ball the entire game. The Pats succeeded and passed the ball just 3 times the entire game. I can certainly see Coach Belichick employing a similar offensive strategy against Aaron Rodgers, keeping him off the field as much as possible. The Packer defense completely shut down Chicago limiting them to 10 points and last week held Tampa Bay to 12 points. The Packers are averaging just 16 points per game, but most see an Aaron Rodgers-run team and expect points, but the weapons just aren't there. I like the Under in this game.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

O

F

New England Patriots

3

7

7

7

0

24

Green Bay Packers

0

7

10

7

3

27

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on New England Patriots on the -5 ATS. 55% of the public money was on New England Patriots to win on the moneyline. And, 72% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that New England would win by a score of 30.6 to 24.0 with New England winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on November 03, 2023 at 11:19AM ET.

NFL

Green Bay at New England

November 4, 2018

8:20 PM Eastern

This is a brutal situational spot for Green Bay, off a crushing loss at the Rams on the West Coast and now they have to fly to the East coast to face Belichick, Brady and the Patriots. Green Bay is winless on the road this season and plays its fourth road game in the last six contests. The defense is a soft spot at #17 in points allowed, and just traded former Pro Bowl safety Ha Ha Clinton-Dix to Washington. The Packers are on a 3-7 spread run, plus 3-7 ATS against winning teams. New England always seems to struggle in September, then Belichick makes adjustments and they get it rolling. That's been the case in 2018 with the Patriots on a 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS run after playing poorly the first three games in September. New England is #11 on offense in total yards, fourth in points scored (29.9 per game). The Patriots are on a 36-16 ATS run overall and have covered seven straight games at home against teams with losing road marks. They are also on a sizzling 35-15-2 ATS run at home. Back New England.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Green Bay Packers

3

7

7

0

17

New England Patriots

7

10

0

14

31

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 53% of the public bets were on Green Bay Packers on the +2.5 ATS. 57% of the public money was on Green Bay Packers to win on the moneyline. And, 50% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that New England would win by a score of 20.6 to 18.1 with New England winning on the moneyline, Green Bay winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Green Bay Packers

3

6

6

7

22

New England Patriots

0

11

0

0

11

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 58% of the public bets were on New England Patriots on the +3 ATS. 81% of the public money was on New England Patriots to win on the moneyline. And, 64% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Green Bay would win by a score of 29.2 to 27.6 with Green Bay winning on the moneyline, New England winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

New England Patriots

0

14

0

7

21

Green Bay Packers

13

10

0

3

26

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 77% of the public bets were on New England Patriots on the -14 ATS. 74% of the public money was on New England Patriots to win on the moneyline. And, 68% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that New England would win by a score of 26.4 to 18.9 with New England winning on the moneyline, Green Bay winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Green Bay Packers

3

14

7

3

27

New England Patriots

7

7

7

10

31