Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins Point Spread Picks

Getting QB Tua Tagovailoa back has helped jumpstart the Miami offense, averaging 30.3 points in three straight wins. Over the last four games, Tagovailoa has 10 TDs and just one interception. The Dolphins are on a 4-1 run OVER the total. Green Bay's balanced offense is fifth in the NFL in total yards and eighth in points (26.2 per game) behind QB Jordan Love (18 TDs, 11 INTs) and a ground game that averages 4.8 yards per carry. The Packers come off a 38-10 win at home over San Francisco with 169 rushing yards. Take Miami/Green Bay OVER the total. 

Green Bay has lost two straight and both games went UNDER. Its offense suffered another costly fumble and Aaron Rodgers is still struggling to find open receivers. Green Bay's defense has been decent enough and the Packers allow 25.5 points per game while Miami averages only 20.8 points on offense. Also, the Dolphins are #28 in the NFL in total yards of offense and their 13-6 win over the New York Jets on Sunday went UNDER by 24 points. Miami somehow won the game with only 168 yards of offense and QB Brock Osweiler completed 15-of-24 for 139 yards and no touchdowns. Ryan Tannehill has a shoulder injury and is out for at least a couple weeks. Packers receiver Geronimo Allison is questionable with a hamstring injury. Miami has gone UNDER in four of its last five road games and six of its last seven after scoring 15 or fewer points its previous game dating to last season. Neither team's offense is hitting on all cylinders and it's a relatively high posted total. Play this game to stay UNDER.

The Green Bay Packers are a mess right now. They are losing games they were supposed to win and their injury report is running out of room. We faded them last week vs. Washington and will do so again this week. The running game disappeared when Ryan Grant went down with a season ending ankle injury, making this team vastly one-dimensional. New star tight end Jermichael Finley is now out, likely for the season, and sack master Clay Matthews is nursing a strained hamstring. Backup tight end Donald Lee injured his shoulder and will sit for at least two weeks. Nose tackle Ryan Pickett is doubtful and tackle Mark Tauscher is going to miss another game as well. The worst news is the team's best player and only real savior rightnow, Aaron Rodgers, suffered a concussion and his status is uncertain. After getting their clock cleaned by New England, the Dolphins have had two weeks to stew about the loss and prepare for Green Bay. They should be smelling blood in this one, with a banged up quality opponent. This is their spot, as the Dolphins have risen up to have gone 17-4 ATS in their last 24 on the road vs. a winning opponent. This one goes to the healthier and more preparred team.