Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams Point Spread Picks

Green Bay comes off a 31-29 loss at home to Minnesota as a favorite and now makes a long road trip to the West Coast. The new-look secondary is having troubles ranked 24th in yards allowed on a defense that is 20th in points given up (22.3 per game). Los Angeles has lost all three road games but is 1-0 at home, pulling off a 27-24 upset of San Francisco as a +6 home dog. They're on an 8-4 ATS run. QB Matthew Stafford played well last week (20-for-29 passing for 224 yards) in a 24-18 loss to the Bears. They entered the red zone four times but had just one touchdown to show for it. The Rams are on a 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS at home. Play Los Angeles + UNDER the total. 

Green Bay has lost four in a row while scoring only 15 points per game in that stretch and Jordan Love is struggling in an overall weak offense. The Packers were outgained 346-270 in their 24-10 loss to Minnesota on Sunday and Love was 24 of 41 for for 229 yards and an interception. Green Bay has gone UNDER three straight games and by an average of 10 points. Los Angeles has it own problems with Matthew Stafford questionable this week with an injured thumb and veteran Brett Rypien has been taking first-team reps in practice. The Rams come off a 43-20 loss to Dallas and Rypien completed five passes for 42 yards in relief of Stafford. The Rams are 8-1-1 ATS their past 10 games following a loss and the Packers are 0-4 ATS their past four games. Los Angeles is 6-1 UNDER as a road underdog and 5-0 UNDER on real grass. The Packers are 3-7 ATS their past 10 as favorites overall and 3-10 ATS as favorites of 3.5-10.0 points. The Rams have gone UNDER 10 of 13 road games. Take the Rams and the UNDER.

Baker Mayfield has had more than a week to get accustomed to his new team and his offense after the miraculous march down the field in the final two minutes to beat the Raiders after only being on the Rams for two days. Green Bay has lost seven of nine although the Packers do come off a 28-19 win over Chicago before getting a much-needed bye week. Aaron Rodgers apparently has recovered from a thumb injury, but the Packers are all but out of playoff contention and they are averaging 20.2 points and are #15 in the league in total offense yards with 345.6 per game. Green Bay is 3-7 ATS its past 10 games and Los Angeles actually has covered three straight. The Rams are 13-3-1 ATS their past 17 December games and they have gone UNDER five of six road games. Also, the Rams are 13-6-1 UNDER versus teams with losing records. Los Angeles has the fourth-best run defense in the NFL, which will help contain A.J. Dillon, who has 157 yards on 26 carries his past two games. The Packers are 1-4 ATS their past five home games. Mayfield has played in a few cold-weather games with the Browns. Take the Rams ATS and the UNDER as a Max Play.

It'll be 37 degrees and windy at Lambeau Sunday! Despite a 31-10 loss to the 49ers, the Los Angeles defense is allowing 21.3 points over the last six games. It's the offense that's the bigger concern, scoring 16 and 10 points the last two games with QB Matthew Stafford throwing 2 TDs and 4 picks. The Rams are 22-7-1 UNDER the total as chalk, 12-5-1 UNDER as a road favorite, and 12-4 UNDER after a spread loss. Green Bay's offense has been more ball control than in recent years as it is fifth in the NFL in time of possession. That has helped the defense (8-2 UNDER the total), which has been solid all season. The Packers defense is seventh in yards allowed, fifth in points surrendered (19.5 per game), and seventh versus the pass. The Packers are allowing 11 points per game at Lambeau Field, and an NFL team like Green Bay off an upset loss as a road favorite is 87-46 UNDER the total. Play this one to stay UNDER the total.

The Los Angeles Rams made a statement last week in completely bottling up Seattle's offense while holding Russell Wilson to 11 of 27 for 174 yards, and their own Cam Akers ran for 131 yards and a touchdown while Darious Williams returned an interception for a touchdown on the way to a 30-20 victory. The Rams did it even with John Wolford starting at quarterback, but he was injured in the first quarter, and Jared Goff came in after recovering from thumb surgery and threw for 155 yards. The Rams have another tough test this week at Green Bay, which has won six in a row. The last time the teams met was in 2018 and the Rams beat the Packers 29-27 on the road. Los Angeles has covered six of its last seven games versus teams with winning records and it is 6-2 ATS as a road underdog and 13-6 ATS its last 19 road games overall. Also, the Rams are 21-7-1 ATS against NFC teams. Green Bay has gone OVER its last two games, and the Rams went OVER by 7.5 points against the Seahawks, even though it looked like a dead UNDER early on. The Rams are 7-1 OVER as underdogs while the Packers are 20-6 OVER after winning by at least 14 points dating to previous seasons. Also, the Packers have soared OVER their last five playoff games and their last seven January games. The Rams will have to contain another great QB in Aaron Rodgers, but they proved last week they can handle it. Play the Rams and the OVER.