Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders Point Spread Picks

Denver's defense is so strong that the offense can be patient. They've averaged just 19.25 points over the last four games, but have won all of them, allowing an average of 16.75 points. The defense is fifth in yards allowed, fourth in points (18.2 per game), and No. 1 on third down (30.7%). The Broncos are on a 10-4 UNDER the total. That includes a 10-7 win over Las Vegas three weeks ago. The Las Vegas offense will struggle mightily again, ranked 30th in yards and 31st in points (14.9 per game). QB Geno Smith (15 TDs, 14 INTs) gets no help from a ground game that is last in rushing and in yards per carry (3.4). The Raiders are on a 12-6 run UNDER the total. Play Denver/Las Vegas UNDER the total. 

Combine the Eagles (-2400), the Mountaineers (-1600), and the Broncos (-470) into a 3-team parlay at -283 odds.

Denver coach Sean Payton has been proven right about rookie QB Bo Nix (14 TDs, 6 INTs). They come off a 38-6 rout of Atlanta. The Denver defense is third in total yards and points allowed. The Broncos are on a 17-8 spread run. Las Vegas is getting outscored by 98 points, which is the second-worst differential in the AFC. The offense is 30th in yards, last in rushing, and 23rd on third down (36.15%). Three quarterbacks have combined for 11 TDs and 11 interceptions, while the defense is 22nd on third down (41.27%) and 29th in points given up (28.5 per game). Las Vegas is on a 5-8 ATS run and lost to Denver last month, 34-18. Play Denver. 

The Denver Broncos offense is horrible, but they are 2-2, thanks to a defense that has kept them in games. In the last two weeks, the Broncos have allowed seven points to Tampa Bay and nine points to the NY Jets. While that sounds great and will have bettors nibbling on a piece of the Broncos, history says otherwise. A team winning 2 straight games where each of those opponents failed to score 10 points are 108-134-2 ATS covering just 44.6% of all games. Vegas has beaten the Browns and also own a huge road win in Baltimore. Vegas should have no trouble limiting Bo Nix. Nix averaged just 2,4 yards per pass attempt last week and for the season he has really struggled. Denver has been somewhat lucky that the defense has carried them, but you have to be able to play both sides of the ball in this league for continued success. History agrees in this case. Make the play on Vegas.