Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Point Spread Picks

Washington got points on the road against Philadelphia last week, and the Commanders nearly pulled off the outright upset, falling by two after trading points with the Eagles all afternoon. That same Washington team is getting points again today, this time against a Dallas club that gave up 28 of its own in a loss to the Giants. Washington didn't turn the ball over once last week and finished perfect in the red zone, evidence the operation is further along than an 0-1 record suggests, even with a third-down conversion rate that still needs work. Dallas has its own questions after New York controlled the ball for nearly 37 minutes in that loss, a sign of a defense that couldn't get its own offense back on the field often enough. Getting points against a team that just lost at home while managing the ball that poorly is the right read on this number. I'm on Washington and the points today.

Combine the Cowboys (-335) and the Thunder (-335) into a 2-team parlay at -171 odds.

Washington punched its ticket to the playoffs in an overtime win over Atlanta. At home, they've played seven of their last 10. They've played their best football at home (7-2) but are 4-3 on the road. Washington had one blowout victory on the road in Arizona in September. They lost by 17 at Tampa Bay, won at Cincinnati and the Giants by 5, lost at Baltimore (30-23), lost at Philadelphia (26-18), and won at the Saints by one point as a 7.5-point favorite. The defense is 27th in the NFL in the red zone. The Cowboys end their season at home with a rivalry game and a chance to knock Washington down in the playoff ladder to the seventh seed. QB Cooper Rush has 10 TDs and three picks over the last six games. Dallas is on a 4-2 SU/ATS run, winning three of those as underdogs of +10.5, +2.5, and +4.5. Play Dallas. 

Dallas is playing out a lost season on a 0-5 SU/ATS run. QB Dak Prescott is done, and back quarterback Cooper Rush (2 TDs, 2 INTs) has led the offense to just 16 points in the last two games. He gets no help from a ground game that is 31st in the NFL in yards while averaging 3.8 yards per carry. The Cowboys have been dominated in the last two games, losing to Philadelphia (34-6) and Houston (34-10) - both at home. The defense is 27th in yards allowed and 31st in points given up (29.3 per game). Washington comes off a pair of losses to solid teams but they're still on an 8-4 SU, 8-3-1 ATS run. The offense is sixth in total yards, eighth on third down (42.96%), and fourth in points (28 per game) behind QB Jayden Daniels (10 TDs, 3 INTs). Look for a one-sided game by the home team against their longtime rival. Play Washington.