Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Point Spread Picks

Combine the Cowboys (-335) and the Thunder (-335) into a 2-team parlay at -171 odds.

Washington punched its ticket to the playoffs in an overtime win over Atlanta. At home, they've played seven of their last 10. They've played their best football at home (7-2) but are 4-3 on the road. Washington had one blowout victory on the road in Arizona in September. They lost by 17 at Tampa Bay, won at Cincinnati and the Giants by 5, lost at Baltimore (30-23), lost at Philadelphia (26-18), and won at the Saints by one point as a 7.5-point favorite. The defense is 27th in the NFL in the red zone. The Cowboys end their season at home with a rivalry game and a chance to knock Washington down in the playoff ladder to the seventh seed. QB Cooper Rush has 10 TDs and three picks over the last six games. Dallas is on a 4-2 SU/ATS run, winning three of those as underdogs of +10.5, +2.5, and +4.5. Play Dallas. 

Dallas is playing out a lost season on a 0-5 SU/ATS run. QB Dak Prescott is done, and back quarterback Cooper Rush (2 TDs, 2 INTs) has led the offense to just 16 points in the last two games. He gets no help from a ground game that is 31st in the NFL in yards while averaging 3.8 yards per carry. The Cowboys have been dominated in the last two games, losing to Philadelphia (34-6) and Houston (34-10) - both at home. The defense is 27th in yards allowed and 31st in points given up (29.3 per game). Washington comes off a pair of losses to solid teams but they're still on an 8-4 SU, 8-3-1 ATS run. The offense is sixth in total yards, eighth on third down (42.96%), and fourth in points (28 per game) behind QB Jayden Daniels (10 TDs, 3 INTs). Look for a one-sided game by the home team against their longtime rival. Play Washington. 

The Dallas offense is third in the NFL in points (29.4 per game), sixth in total yards, and third on third down (47.73%). The Cowboys won't hold back offensively with an NFC East title on the line. Washington's defense has packed it in surrendering an average of 33.57 points during their seven-game skid. They're on a 6-3 run OVER the total. The defense is last in the NFL in yards and points allowed (30 per game). Dallas won the first meeting, 45-10, in a game that sailed OVER and this one shapes up as a contest with more offense than defense. Take Dallas/Washington OVER the total.