Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles Point Spread Picks

The Brian Schottenheimer era begins in Dallas (at least as the head coach), as he was promoted from offensive coordinator, giving the Cowboys some continuity after ousting Mike McCarthy. The recent big news was the trade of Micah Parsons to the Packers, but the Cowboys aren't getting enough credit for acquiring Kenny Clark, a talented defensive tackle, in return. The three-time Pro Bowler will help against the run, which is what Dallas needed after finishing 17th in run defense in 2024. Dak Prescott will have two star wide receivers to target in CeeDee Lamb and highly-acclaimed George Pickens, who was acquired from Pittsburgh. The Cowboys are counting on rookie running back Jaydon Blue to be the star in an all-new backfield. Philadelphia will have to deal with the Super Bowl hangover, as only one team has returned to the big game and won the past 15 years. Dallas certainly has the revenge factor in its favor, as it lost both meetings by a combined score of 75-13 to the Eagles last year. The Cowboys ended the 2024 season on a 5-2 ATS run. Take the points with the Cowboys.

Dallas has shown some life-winning four of five. But even in beating Tampa Bay last week, the defense allowed 410 yards (134 rushing). The defense is 27th in yards surrendered, 27th against the run, 30th in points given up (26.9 per game), and last in the red zone. Philadelphia's defense is No. 1 in total yards allowed, sixth on third down, eighth in the red zone, and fifth in points given up. The offense is a powerhouse, sixth in total yards and No. 1 in rushing behind QB Jalen Hurts (18 TDs, 5 INTs, 630 rushing yards) and RB Saquon Barkley (1,838 yards, 5.9 ypc). They're fighting for playoff positioning, on an 11-2, 8-5 ATS run, and highly motivated to bounce back after a 36-33 loss at rival Washington. Play Philadelphia. 

Dallas plans to start Cooper Rush in place of injured Dak Prescott, and considering the Cowboys have lost three in a row, it could be a welcome change. Rush appeared in nine games and started five in 2022. He had a 4-1 record as a starter and completed 58.0 percent of his passes for 1,051 yards and five TDs with three interceptions. Philadelphia is 0-6-1 ATS. It's past seven games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 points, and the Eagles didn't get the cover on Sunday as a 7.5-point favorite against Jacksonville. Their past two games have gone OVER, and they are 6-1 OVER after totaling more than 150 rushing yards in their previous game. Philadelphia is 4-11 ATS in its past 15 games overall and 2-5 ATS in its past seven meetings with Dallas. Six of the past seven meetings have gone OVER, and Dallas has covered six straight home games against the Eagles. Take the Cowboys and the OVER.

Dallas is 9-3, but it still hasn't beaten a team that is above .500 and the Eagles will be in a foul mood after getting pummeled by San Francisco last week. Philadelphia is 4-0 ATS following an ATS loss and the Cowboys are 1-4 ATS against teams with winning records. The Eagles won the first meeting 28-23 on Nov. 5 with Jalen Hurts throwing for 207 yards and two TDs with no interceptions and A.J. Brown had seven catches for 66 yards and a touchdown. Philadelphia is 4-1-1 ATS its past six road games and 7-2-2 ATS overall after losing by at least 14 points. The Eagles have gone UNDER four of five on the road and they are 4-1 UNDER following a loss. Dallas has stayed UNDER five of six after allowing more than 30 points its previous game. The Cowboys are 1-5-1 ATS their past seven games after yielding fewer than 90 yards rushing their previous game. Take the Eagles and the UNDER as a Max Play.