The much-maligned defense of the Dallas Cowboys is a lot better than most think. Dallas is ranked #1 in the league in stopping #1 receivers. They are also ranked #1 in stopping short passes. Pat Mahomes is not having a typical season and has already thrown as many picks this year (10), as he did all of last year. His yards per attempt are also way down. Many look at last week vs. Vegas and say, ok Mahomes is back, but one game against a poor pass defense doesn't offer that. The Dallas offense will have a huge advantage going against a Kansas City defense that has been lit up by competent quarterbacks all season. Dallas is putting up 33 points per game against better defenses and is doing so with a modest amount of turnovers. Make the play on Dallas.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 50% of the public bets were on Dallas Cowboys on the +2.5 ATS. And, 64% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Kansas City would win by a score of 28.1 to 27.1 with Kansas City winning on the moneyline, Dallas winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Premium Picks
NFL
Dallas at Kansas City
4:25 PM Eastern
Final Score
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 51% of the public bets were on Dallas Cowboys on the -2.5 ATS. 55% of the public money was on Kansas City Chiefs to win on the moneyline. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Dallas would win by a score of 27.1 to 26.0 with Dallas winning on the moneyline, Kansas City winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
NFL
Kansas City at Dallas
4:25 PM Eastern
Kansas City has balance and speed on offense, third in the NFL in yards per game, with 122.8 yards rushing, 255 passing. QB Alex Smith (16 TDs, 0 INTs) has taken advantage of speedy weapons Tyreek Hill and rookie RB Kareem Hunt (763 yards, 5.2 ypc). Throw in TE Travis Kelce (556 yards), the leading receiver, and they are tough for anyone to defend. Six of their last seven road games have sailed OVER the total, including their last road contest, a 31-30 defeat at Oakland. Dallas has a strong quarterback, too, in Dak Prescott (14 TDs, 4 INTs) with fine targets in WR Dez Bryant, TE Jason Witten and WR Terrance Williams. They also have great balance with star RB Ezekiel Elliott avoiding suspension. Dallas has scored 33, 40, 31, 30 and 28 points the last five games, moving up to fifth in the NFL in scoring (28.3 ppg), but the defense has slipped from a year ago, #20 in points allowed. And playing OVER a total greater than or equal to 49.5 in a game involving two teams that average less than 1.25 turnovers per game has gone 40-12 OVER the total. Play Kansas City and the OVER.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 61% of the public bets were on Dallas Cowboys on the +3 ATS. 73% of the public money was on Dallas Cowboys to win on the moneyline. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Dallas would win by a score of 23.8 to 22.0 with Dallas winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 66% of the public bets were on Dallas Cowboys on the -7 ATS. 74% of the public money was on Dallas Cowboys to win on the moneyline. And, 60% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Dallas would win by a score of 25.4 to 19.0 with Dallas winning on the moneyline, Kansas City winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Dallas would win by a score of 21.6 to 20.6 with Dallas winning on the moneyline, Kansas City winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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