Cleveland Browns vs Washington Commanders Point Spread Picks

Cleveland let one get away in its 20-16 loss to Las Vegas, and a ticky-tack holding call victimized the Browns, costing them an 82-yard scoring pass. Deshaun Watson finished 24 of 32 for 176 yards with an interception, and he scored from six yards out on a run. The Raiders were held to 268 total offense yards, but the defense stopped the Browns on their final drive. Cleveland is 6-1 ATS. It has had seven games against teams with winning records and has covered five of seven versus NFC East teams. Washington has lost seven of eight home games dating to last season, and the Commanders are 0-6 ATS in Week 5. Cleveland will have to find a way to slow down Jayden Daniels, who threw for 233 yards and a TD in a 42-14 rout of Arizona. However, the Browns defense is No. 11 in the league in total yards allowed and #10 in pass defense. The Raiders had only 116 net passing yards last week against the Cleveland defense. The Commanders are 12-6 UNDER their past 18 against AFC North opponents and Cleveland is 13-6 UNDER against the NFC. Take the Browns and the UNDER.

Cleveland is on a 3-2 SU/ATS run with the defense playing great allowing just 14.8 points during that run. For the season, the Browns are eighth in the NFL defensively on third down (37.50%). Washington's offense is weak ranked 23rd in the NFL in points scored and 25th on third down. Washington is 70-105 ATS as a favorite, including 46-76 ATS as home chalk. Washington has benched QB Taylor Heinicke and is going back to Carson Wentz (11 TDs, 6 INTs). The two quarterbacks have been sacked 42 times, ranking 25th in pass-blocking protection. Washington has been in must-win games over the last three weeks but is 0-2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS. They're also 30-54 ATS at home versus losing teams, plus 42-63 ATS after allowing 30+ points in the last game. Play Cleveland.