Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers Point Spread Picks

Combine the Packers (-375) and the Seahawks (-350) into a 2-team parlay at -159 odds.

Green Bay is down to three quarterbacks at training camp after cutting Jacob Eason, which means that Sean Clifford and Michael Pratt will get all of the snaps in this game. Jordan Love is unlikely to play in the preseason and Pratt has a chance to make an impact as Clifford has underperformed so far in camp. Pratt is a rookie second-round pick from Tulane where he went 21-3 his last two years as a starter and threw for 9,611 yards with a 60.6 percent completion rate. The Packers won and covered two of three preseason games in 2023 and won the opener 36-19 at Cincinnati. Cleveland is 5-10 ATS as a home favorite its past 15 preseason games. Deshaun Watson will not play as the Browns are being careful with him following shoulder surgery and the backups are Jamies Winston, Tyler Huntley and Dorian Thompson-Robinson. Winston will start this game in his 10th NFL season, but he has played in only 21 games with 10 starts the past four years. Huntley played four seasons with Baltimore and started one game in 2023. Thompson-Robinson was one of five quarterbacks the Browns used in 2023 and he appeared in eight games with three starts. Green Bay coach Matt LaFleur plans to play some starters for at least 10 plays. The Packers have covered five of their past seven Week 1 preseason games. Take the Packers.

Two of the best defenses in the NFL clash in chilly Green Bay, and both offenses are in the Top 8 in ball-control time of possession. Cleveland's defense is fifth in yards allowed and 13th in points. They lean on that defense as the erratic offense is 19th in yards, 18th in points scored, and 21st on third down. The Browns are 44-18-3 UNDER the total in December games and 63-40 UNDER in non-conference tilts. Green Bay's defense is eighth in yards allowed and 10th in points under first-year defensive coordinator Joe Barry. The offense is more balanced than in the past at 14th in yards and points. The Packers are 12-4 UNDER the total off a road victory, and this shapes up as more of a defensive slugfest than oddsmakers anticipate. Play this one to stay UNDER the total.

Green Bay has gone OVER in four of its last five even without injured Aaron Rodgers, although it took overtime to achieve it in its 26-20 win over Tampa Bay. The Packers racked up 199 rushing yards against the Buccaneers led by Jamaal Williams, who ran for 113 yards on 21 carries. Brett Hundley did enough to win and actually was most effective running the ball as he rushed for 66 yards on just seven carries. The Packers have gone OVER eight of their last nine games against teams with losing records and eight of their last nine road games dating to last season. Cleveland has gone over three of its last five despite a weak offense, due to relatively low posted totals, which is the situation again in this matchup. The Packers are ranked #24 in yards allowed (354.8 per game) while giving up 23.4 points per game. Josh Gordon had four catches for 84 yards in his return from a suspension, and DeShone Kizer passed for 215 yards in Cleveland's loss to the Chargers. The Packers are 10-3 OVER after a win and 19-7 OVER their last 26 games overall. The Browns have gone OVER four of their last five after scoring fewer than 15 points their previous game. Play the OVER.

The rebuilding Browns have a long way to go for new coach Hue Jackson. They are short on talent, ranked #25 in yards on offense last season and #30 in points score. Meanwhile, the defense was equally inept ranked #27 in yards allowed, #29 in points and #30 against the run. And the QB rotation is nothing to shout about in this tough division with fragile Robert Griffin III, Josh McCown, Cody Kessler and Austin Davis. Cleveland runs into a talented Green Bay team with rabid fans at Lambeau Field -- even in preseason. The offense rolled at home last preseason, averaging 32 points, including a 38-10 thrashing of a bad New Orleans defense in its last home preseason tilt. With the Hall of Fame game postponed, QB Aaron Rodgers will start and get some playing time. They also rolled at home in August of 2014 (2-0 SU/ATS), winning 31-21 and 34-14. Play Green Bay.